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eyewall

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by eyewall

  1. Triangle folks this is your only hope:
  2. Rain and a little sleet in Raleigh. The dry slot is now coming through.
  3. Agreed and there is quite a dry slot rolling through as we speak. Look the lower level WV on College of Du Page.
  4. Yeah this isn't looking good and we started the event a few degrees warmer than forecast.
  5. I have been MIA being too busy to get on here. My call at this point is: Western Mountains of NC to Pilot Mountain/Hanging Rock, and adjacent VA: 3-6 (locally 8) inches Triad to Danviile VA: 1-3 (locally 4) inches RDU: Dusting to an inch South and east of there: token flakes at the end
  6. One thing to point out is this is not going to blanket accumulations. This is going to be more banded and scattered I think in terms of decent amounts. It will largely be rate driven without question.
  7. The 18z GFS is definitely a better run. I only wish I could post weatherbell maps. GSO jackpots.
  8. I will stick with 4-8 (locally 12) in the NC mountains, 3-6 foothills, 2-4 Triad, 1-2 slushy inches east of GSO to Raleigh and add 2-4 for Rocky Mount through Virginia Beach as my second rough call. Tomorrow I will begin the maps if warranted and the chance doesn't vaporize.
  9. There will be adjustments. I am following today's trends closely. One thing that does suck on the 12z GFS aside from being a bit warmer is the loss of the second system. One thing I will say is we have to watch northeastern NC and southeastern VA for a secondary max as the surface low deepens while moving out.
  10. That was a nice step in the right direction by the GFS. Right now yes I would say the NAM was probably too far south.
  11. Rough first call for now would be 4-8 (locally 12) WNC Mountains, 3-6 Triad-Danville, VA, 1-3 east of GSO to Durham, <1 Raleigh
  12. yeah hard to say where it goes from there but certainly the players are on the field at the end of the run.
  13. At this point if even gets within close enough range to make a call map I will consider that a win.
  14. Nothing a short drive can't take care of. It definitely looks like a north of I-40 west of I-85 event.
  15. The 12z GFS was definitely in the right direction. It will still take a bit more to reel this one in though.
  16. It would largely depend on the ULL dynamics and track for sure.
  17. I remember that! I drove to into it also.
  18. That is because of the SouthernWX forum which is like Parler for weather enthusiasts.
  19. Yep, definitely would be rate driven with the ULL. It really is a nice track otherwise of the surface system.
  20. I think it is about zeroing out on snow given the potential even if it isn't 75F everyday. I went to the mountains on Christmas morning to enjoy that on the likely chance we get nothing in Raleigh this year.
  21. There is no doubt it looks like complete crap and cutter city on the GFS. I was pretty confident RDU would zero out this year and so far that seems to be on track.
  22. I didn't take a lot of shots as I was busy just enjoying it but here are a few (also some of the best shots out there were hard to get without getting the car stuck). Remember to click each photo to see it in full:
  23. It was definitely a fun day. It didn't stop snowing most of the time I was up there today. It reminded me of VT upslope action. We even saw flurries when we left Raleigh early this morning.
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