eyewall

yes!

I doubt anyone will see that except the immediate beaches at most. I would say in the populated areas, maybe gusts to 60 in a couple of spots. The sustained 60 is over open water.

That looks amazing!

We had one downpour on this side of Raleigh yesterday and that was it. The models were backing off earlier this week but yeah another bust.

How are the Rhododendrons looking at the higher elevations? Is it too late?

MT trip? URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Missoula MT 1049 AM MDT Mon Jun 15 2020 MTZ007-170000- /O.NEW.KMSO.WS.A.0007.200617T0000Z-200617T1800Z/ Butte/Blackfoot Region- 1049 AM MDT Mon Jun 15 2020 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Heavy wet snow possible. For elevations 5000 feet and higher: total snow accumulations of up to 8 inches possible. Locally higher amounts of 12 to 15 inches possible in the highest terrain (above roughly 6500 feet). * WHERE...Butte, Georgetown Lake, Highway 12 Garrison to Elliston, Homestake Pass, and MacDonald Pass. * WHEN...From Tuesday evening through Wednesday morning. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Backcountry conditions could become difficult, if not dangerous, during this time.

Meanwhile in MT: URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Missoula MT 1049 AM MDT Mon Jun 15 2020 MTZ007-170000- /O.NEW.KMSO.WS.A.0007.200617T0000Z-200617T1800Z/ Butte/Blackfoot Region- 1049 AM MDT Mon Jun 15 2020 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Heavy wet snow possible. For elevations 5000 feet and higher: total snow accumulations of up to 8 inches possible. Locally higher amounts of 12 to 15 inches possible in the highest terrain (above roughly 6500 feet). * WHERE...Butte, Georgetown Lake, Highway 12 Garrison to Elliston, Homestake Pass, and MacDonald Pass. * WHEN...From Tuesday evening through Wednesday morning. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Backcountry conditions could become difficult, if not dangerous, during this time.

Yeah it busted hard for Raleigh. All the rain remained just to the west.

Additional showers and storms are likely to develop along the surface to 925 mb front/trough from s-cntl VA swwd across the NC Piedmont later this afternoon; and these will become numerous to widespread while settling only slowly sewd across the US Highway 1 corridor in cntl NC through early tonight. That activity is likely to pose the greatest risk of flash flooding, focused between 20Z Thu and 06Z Fri.

Yes indeed. My altitude was 100-200ft AGL in these.

There were a few mini supercells in southern Wake yesterday and of course one prompted a tornado warning. I got a few aerials as these rotated through:

Very cool. Thank you for sharing. Looks like mostly rime up there with the dusting of snow.

I unfortunately didn't make it out to Carvers Gap as I am needed at work today. The radar didn't look all that impressive overnight but I am sure they got something.

That is our plan as well. Hope to see you there.

Any cams showing snow yet?

I remember those May snows well when I was up there. Looks like I will be headed up to the NC Mountains overnight. May be an inch or two of snow at 5K feet at sunrise. That would be just about at the latest recorded snow I believe.

Yeah it will be a heck of a trip with no sleep but might be worth catching one of the latest snows on record in NC.

I was thinking of headed up to Roan Mountain/Carvers Gap overnight. Thoughts on that being worthwhile?

This is exactly what I thought would happen. The pattern would become much more favorable when it was too late.

So frustrating that this couldn't have been a daytime event and closer up this way. I am still looking for another solid chase day or two before summer junk season.

Not sure if this has been posted or not:

100 knots at 900mb is just ridiculous!

For Raleigh this is a non-event but wow what a morning

It does appear there may be a wake low behind the line in the Troy NC area

Doesn't look like it will be much in Raleigh.