sbnwx85

Batten down the hatches Friday!

Day 2 bullseye

Embracing my 4" of snowpack before the rain and 40's melt it away. Always excited to see what March brings each year. I've seen snow storms, blizzards, 80 degree days, severe storms, funnel clouds and everything in between in March.

Got about an inch at home before I went to work. Might get another inch. The band went east thanks to a mesolow then came ashore and fell apart. 15 miles to my north got 10" of fresh powder. So close yet so far.

Lake effect band has set up to my east which none of the models picked up on. A co-worker has observed 2” per hour snows within the band. So far just light snow here. Gotta love the lake effect

IWX holding serve with a WWA for the lake effect areas for now. 2-6" with highest amounts in the band. I guess for February, I can't complain but I will.

At this point in the year if I can just get a medium dog I’ll be happy. We’ve got 4” on the ground. Give me 6” more so I can see double digits and then bring on Spring.

If anyone is a "snow chaser" you may want to consider making plans to be in northern St. Joseph County, IN or Berrien County, MI on Thursday. This may be one of those big dogs. A foot+ looks likely for some areas that get stuck under the lake-effect band. I'm not quite confident it'll be another Michigan City event like last year where they saw 30"+ but it certainly has the chance to be the best event in the region this winter. The bands kind of wiggle a little more at that trajectory leading to a little more "spread the wealth" if you will. Seems some mets are a little gun shy about going all in (and I can't blame them after the last two storms fizzled out) but most forecast snow maps show 3-6 inches. Barring a big change this seems like it'll certainly put down more. But then again I always bust high so... stay tuned.

Measured 5.6" of snow last week. Highest total this winter. Knocking on 30" for the year. The official South Bend site is already over 30" but they are also about 10 miles closer to Lake Michigan.

Big crash on the Toll Road between South Bend and LaPorte. Snow hasn’t been super heavy but it’s enough. And it’s too cold for the road salt to work efficiently. Perfect recipe for crashes.

Dear sweet baby snow Jesus, I see what you have done for others and I pray you do this for me.

Woke up to about an inch of new snow. Thermometer says 3.

Not quite as bad as the 2024 White Sox season but it’s had its moments.

Starting to hold my breath. IWX is paying attention to it. Seems like more could go right than wrong for once this winter. “Somewhat greater concern for a more pronounced lake effect band setting up Wed night into Thursday with 925 mb streamlines and 850 mb omega fields all suggesting strong convergence down the long (major) axis of Lake MI as well as a connection to Lake Superior. These bands can be prolific snow producers and extend well inland. A lot of details to sort out in the coming days with final track of upper level and sfc features all key to the final alignment of the band. Also, unlike the current LES setup, the DGZ will climb to a more typical level and may reside near the top of or just above the best lift. Also, quality/depth of the moisture may be somewhat limited. Pops and potential snow amounts remain very conservative at this point, but something to monitor.”

On the bright side I get to watch it snow all day without having to shovel.

Posted an update in the wrong thread earlier but the lake effect has at least produced continuous snowfall for about three hours now… although very little accumulation. Maybe an inch?

The low producing a nice snow storm to our south next week might also produce a decent lake response Wednesday night but I’m not going to hold my breath at this point.

The lake effect portion of this sucks too. It’s barely sticking. About 0.5” from this system as a whole. It’s about this time of year I’m ready for Spring and storms.

Classic lake effect squall in LaPorte County slowly moving east. It should get here around 2:00 or 3:00. Otherwise sunny skies on either side of the squall. 2”-3” is my expectation once it gets here.

Solid DAB so far.

Thinking the defo band misses to my southeast. Lake effect should be decent tomorrow unless the wind tears apart the flakes. Current IWX forecast of 2”-4” looks solid.

Yea if nothing else the wind potential with this still looks impressive for everyone. Add 4”-10” between here, Fort Wayne and up to Detroit and it’ll be a fun storm.

12z updates your viewing pleasure or displeasure:

IWX mentioning potential ground blizzard conditions on Sunday especially in rural areas.

2.2” tonight. Snowpack up to 5”. Might be the highest it’s been all winter.