sbnwx85

At least the lake effect rain has moved in…

18z GFS bumped the northern edge of the 6" snow swath about 100 miles. Closer to the 12z Euro. Still well south for my liking but a step in the right direction I guess.

Their meltdowns are pretty entertaining.

Just haven't had much to track in about a year.

38 and rainy again. I don't think it'll snow today... or ever again. I'm hibernating until Spring.

It’s windy out there too. Raw winter day.

For anyone still following the now-Monday storm, the 00z GFS says congrats Kentucky.

Won't be me... I started the December obs thread and look how that month turned out.

Sounds like my honeymoon! Goodnight, folks!

GFS showing a high-end advisory, low-end warning event for many.

GFS is a great hit for IA, WI, MI, N IL, N IN. South of there it’s nasty sleet/ice storm. Canadian moves a low along the Gulf Coast… so take that for what it’s worth.

I’m starting to go back and look through that thread. It’s funny how the models haven’t improved much in ten years… and in some cases gotten a little worse. GHDII hit on a Sunday, as well. Models struggled 6-8 days out with most going south. The Tuesday before the storm, the GFS really honed in on the potential beast and track of the blizzard. It’s fun to go back and read everyone’s posts. IIRC, last January Euro and GFS showed a major snowstorm/blizzard for much of the subforum five days before 1/13… and backed off to a “run-of-the-mill” snowstorm. Just a reminder not to get too high or too low run-to-run until about Friday

No sarcasm here when I say the models should have a good grasp on this storm by Friday.

Picked up a couple inches of rain today. Oh what could’ve been.

**HEAVY SIGH** yeahhhhhh

50 degrees at 2 am in December feels nice.

CAD Watch in effect.

Some of Indiana’s biggest LES events have come in January. See South Bend in 2011 and Michigan City last year.

Ended with 3.1”. A bit of an over performance. At least on the high end of what I was expecting.

Couple inches of heavy, wet, stick-to-everything snow. It’s going to be absolute winter wonderland scenes this morning.

It's been a rough stretch for most of us. I moved back to South Bend in Spring of 2018 after the city got 93.1" the previous winter. Needless to say I was pumped to get back to frequent cold and snow. It's now been six winters in a row of below normal snowfall. The worst was last season with just 30.3". It was the least snow in a winter since 1948-1949 with 24.2". This is also the longest stretch of below normal snow in a row since the late 1940's in South Bend.

Safe to say it’s going to be boring through the week of Christmas for the subforum including the lake belts. These up and down temps should hopefully lead to something active in January. From what I’m reading from multiple sources, mid-January into mid-February should be rocking and cold for us.

Might have spoken too soon…

Goofus, Your-uh-peein, and the Canucks all showing a strong lake-effect snow signal just in time for the Notre Dame playoff game on Friday. There's still a long way to go but wind direction seems to be the biggest issue at this point. It'll be hard NOT to get a good lake-effect band with that kind of arctic air moving down the lake. Here's hoping it settles over the stadium and makes for one helluva snow bowl!