sbnwx85

After seeing the 00z runs tonight I’m going for a bold 3.2” for the first call of the season.

Another day of grey permacloud. I’m watching the Bears/Packers game and jealous of thr sun they’re getting.

Whatever is falling from the sky is going to be coming down sideways for a while thanks to some strong winds.

The slight/moderate/high risk maps we’ve been waiting for.

Same amount here. Then the dog peed on the rain gauge to add a little more.

I'm still traumatized by the 2011-2012 winter. See my signature for more.

Resurrecting this for perhaps the final or penultimate time. Much of our subforum in at least a marginal risk today. And a few areas to the east seeing a marginal risk tomorrow. Day 1 Day 2: RAP and NAM showing potential for a possible spin up as the front moves through tomorrow late morning thru the afternoon particularly to my east. Nothing worth chasing IMO but something to keep an eye on locally

This is the third latest 80 degree day on record in South Bend. The latest 80+ day is November 1st, done twice, when it hit 82 on November 1, 1950 and 80 on November 1, 1933.

SBN hits 80 degrees to break the old daily record of 79 set in 1999.

The weather team at my station put together its annual "Forecasting the Winter" special yesterday. They used previous weak La Nina winters following a strong El Nino to predict what we could see this winter. They found what @michsnowfreakmentioned above: temps slightly above normal, with snowfall near to above normal. Some interesting notes: Weak La Nina winters following strong El Nino winters (at least in South Bend) almost all had higher-than-normal snow totals in December. January and February had below normal snowfall. But then March and April (yuck) made up for it with above-average snow totals. The wild card for this side of the lake is always lake-effect. Cold December winds and a warm lake should get things rocking. Here's a link if you're interesting in watching: https://wsbt.com/news/local/forecasting-winter-with-wsbt-chief-meteorologist-cari-peugeot-2024-2025-snow-sleet-blizzard-precipitation-how-much-la-nina-lake-effect-temperatures-michigan-south-bend-mishawaka-indiana

Got 0.50” of rain overnight and some solid boomers that woke me up.

Moving to Tampa to cash in on snow.

Storms missed me to the north by about 10 miles Saturday night, I got split by two cells Sunday afternoon, but I did cash in on about .10" of rain from lake enhancement last night. Almost lost an inflatable pumpkin due to some 40 mph gusts but managed to make the save before it rolled into the street. Sunny today and refreshingly crisp. We should get a few lake effect showers this afternoon.

We still have managed 30 mph gusts up here. It's just amazing how massive this storm is and how something so far to our south is still impacting weather here.

Very thankful these were weak tornadoes. The track for the St. Joseph County one was through a Meijer parking lot and across Main Street. If it were stronger and stayed on the ground a hospital was next followed by my workplace.

And of course the Sox won

Of course the day I take off work to go watch my White Sox set a record for futility I miss a funnel cloud go by.

Read it and weep:

Sign me up for this storm track in January.

Should be able to get to 25 straight days without any rain. Historic times we live in.

Honestly, if the weather is going to be boring and dry I'd rather have it during a month like September when it's normally boring.

Maybe some flurries. Just to get a taste. Save the rest for DJF.

Lake effect machine still works.

Very loud boomers around 4:30. Hearing some wind damage reports around town. Maybe round two later?

You stole my thunder lol I had something typed up and was about to hit submit. All good!