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Everything posted by sbnwx85
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Sure enough, got 3”. Three day total of 13.9”. 10” snow depth.
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Kinda ripping. Getting some decent banding considering the high ratio snows. Might get 3”.
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Took a little while but rates have improved over the last hour or two. Should end up with a couple of inches of fresh powder.
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https://www.facebook.com/share/v/14TwtUcsdyu/ An interestingly angled lake-effect event happening in Muskegon tonight.
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Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion
sbnwx85 replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Parade of clippers would be nice to see for once. -
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Looks like a solid 2-4” out this way.
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Nov 28-30th Post Turkey Day Winter Storm
sbnwx85 replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Storm total was 8.9” Any additional today I’m counting as lake effect. So far, 0.5” of lake snow. We lost about two inches to compaction so we have 7.5” on the ground currently. -
Nov 28-30th Post Turkey Day Winter Storm
sbnwx85 replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
8.8” in the backyard. -
Nov 28-30th Post Turkey Day Winter Storm
sbnwx85 replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
5.9” measures in South Bend at 7 pm. 10:00 update didn’t include a new South Bend measurement, but lots of 7-10” reports across northern Indiana. -
Nov 28-30th Post Turkey Day Winter Storm
sbnwx85 replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Had to go to work so I’m a little out of the loop on how the storm is evolving but stepped outside to major rippage. About 7” on the ground (despite our competitor measuring 1.1” ). Looks like a batch of dry air moving in before the final wave in Illinois slides through. 9” seems plausible. Then we’ll see what bonus we get from the lake tomorrow. -
Nov 28-30th Post Turkey Day Winter Storm
sbnwx85 replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Getting into the quality stuff now. Up to 3”. HRRR says 6” more before lake effect kicks in. -
Nov 28-30th Post Turkey Day Winter Storm
sbnwx85 replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
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Nov 28-30th Post Turkey Day Winter Storm
sbnwx85 replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Yeah we’re about to get a couple hours of good rates, a lull, and then the real show begins. -
Nov 28-30th Post Turkey Day Winter Storm
sbnwx85 replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
1/4 mile visibility at South Bend. Snow Freezing Fog 26°F -3°C Humidity 92% Wind Speed SE 13 mph Barometer 30.34 in (1028.7 mb) Dewpoint 24°F (-4°C) Visibility 0.25 mi Wind Chill 15°F (-9°C) Last update 29 Nov 11:54 am EST -
Nov 28-30th Post Turkey Day Winter Storm
sbnwx85 replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Central Illinois getting clobbered Mesoscale Discussion 2239 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1042 AM CST Sat Nov 29 2025 Areas affected...parts of IL...southeast IA...and far northeast MO Concerning...Heavy snow Valid 291642Z - 292145Z SUMMARY...Primary bands of moderate to sporadic heavy snow should pivot from south-central across southeast Iowa, and persist across much of central into northern Illinois through this afternoon. Rates around 1 inch per hour should occasionally occur. DISCUSSION...Long-duration snowfall event will persist through the afternoon, shifting eastward to the northeast of a surface cyclone near the western Kansas City Metro Area. Ongoing heavy snow band across south-central IA should largely pivot across southeast IA and perhaps expand as the strongest mid-level DCVA shifts across eastern IA this afternoon. Farther east, the persistent low-level warm conveyor will maintain a broad swath of moderate snow across central to northern IL. While the bulk of the ascent should remain beneath the dendritic growth zone centered around 550 mb, strengthening mid-level DCVA should foster sporadic bursts of heavier snow. Snowfall rates within these regimes should occasionally reach 1 in/hr. -
Nov 28-30th Post Turkey Day Winter Storm
sbnwx85 replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
HRRR picking up on a heavy lake effect band/mesolow swinging through Berrien County mid-late Sunday afternoon. Would be a mess with 10-12” already on the ground. -
Nov 28-30th Post Turkey Day Winter Storm
sbnwx85 replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Things are on track here. It’s been snowing for a couple of hours and we have about a half inch so far. Consistently snowing with flake size and rate gradually improving. The radar looks great. -
Nov 28-30th Post Turkey Day Winter Storm
sbnwx85 replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Potential for two top 10 November snowfalls in the same year in South Bend. Maximum 2-Day Total Snowfall for SOUTH BEND AP, IN Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Period of record: 1893-12-01 to 2025-11-26 1 20.5 1977-11-26 0 2 18.0 1911-11-03 1 - 18.0 1911-11-02 1 4 14.6 1977-11-25 0 5 14.3 2025-11-10 0 6 13.6 1951-11-07 0 7 13.5 1930-11-27 0 8 13.4 2014-11-14 0 9 13.0 1930-11-26 0 10 12.3 2014-11-13 0 -
Nov 28-30th Post Turkey Day Winter Storm
sbnwx85 replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
If IND can pull their WSW all the way south to Indy, DTX can cover their CWA with a warning, too. -
Nov 28-30th Post Turkey Day Winter Storm
sbnwx85 replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
WSW up. I never dreamed November would produce another big dog this year after the 10" lake-effect event three weeks ago, but here it is. Some areas to my immediate northeast will have 18" on the ground thanks to last night's lake event. -
Classic lake-effect event here overnight. Half-inch at my house. Within a mile of work, it started snowing, roads are a mess, and there's 2" of snow on the ground. Some areas just over the state line in Michigan picked up 6".
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Nov 28-30th Post Turkey Day Winter Storm
sbnwx85 replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
HRRR/RAP dry slot me but put down 11” of snow before that happens. That’s probably overdone. Final call: 9” -
Nov 28-30th Post Turkey Day Winter Storm
sbnwx85 replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Last hour of the HRRR plus kuchera amounts. It’s making me a little nervous seeing how far north that warm air is budging in… and a potential dry slot.
