sbnwx85

Correlation coefficient was right. Flipped to freezing rain/sleet mix. About to hit another lull in the action. Should keep ice accretion in check for now.

The photo is from about a half hour ago. Really came down under that band from the south. Still snowing at a good clip. Windy too. Correlation coefficient indicates some pingers already trying to mix in just to my south. Up to 2.8 inches. Backyard thermometer shows 27 degrees and that usually runs a degree higher than what’s reported at the airport. Fun storm to track!

About 2 1/4" of snow so far. Getting into a lull and hopefully the banding to the south holds together so we can add another inch or so before the change over ice.

About 1.5" here. Not official, but I'll share amongst friends.

Always fun to look at Google traffic maps in Chicago during winter weather.

Usually I like donut holes but this one does not look tasty.

It’s just so damn beautiful.

Lock it in. Now the big question: Will I wake up in time to enjoy it before the rain and warmer temps start to melt the snow? My guess is...probably not.

Even though warning criteria may not be met the combination of advisory-level snow and advisory-level ice may warrant a Winter Storm Watch in many locations with decisions on how to upgrade made later.

Looks like a mess if any of that ice materializes. I'm keeping my eye on the lake-effect potential IMBY as this system pulls away. Lake-effect: The last hope I have for a decent winter.

We may finally see some more lake effect here in Indiana. Haven't seen much since the big event on Veterans Day. The models don't seem overly impressed From the last two IWX forecast discussions:

I'll take "interesting" at this point with the winter we've seen so far. I love interesting!

Big shift north with the wintry precip on the 12z GFS compared to the 00z. About 125 miles. If the trend continues I’ll be storm chasing this weekend

I’ll play along since this is the best thing we’ve had to track in a while. Temps would be in the upper 20’s in much of that icy area. If the wintry side of this system doesn’t work out I’ll live vicariously through the Southeast forums and track the severe wx potential. SPC has Day 6 and 7 slight risks out already for the Deep South. Edit: Edited to include map zoomed in.

Ended with 1.5” before it melted. Looked very pretty.

Can any of you weather experts help me identify what this white stuff falling from the sky is?

When I moved back home to the South Bend area I thought I'd see a big dog within a couple of years. I haven't seen a foot of snow on the ground since March 2013 when I lived in Jacksonville, IL. I moved back to South Bend in March of 2018. Last winter, Central Illinois got a big dog while I was nickel and dimed up here (The snows were more frequent...but I want a big one!). The biggest snow I've gotten in South Bend so far is about 6 inches. While the snow is more frequent it's been incredibly frustrating for me personally. Even the lake-effect has been disappointing outside of one good event this past November. I know it'll all even out eventually, but I figured this was a good place to vent for now. Thank you for attending my Ted Talk.

#Excited

Well that was a pretty exciting 12 hours, you guys.

Lock it in!

Dunlap (between Goshen and Elkhart) had a report of 18 inches. I think that's the jackpot for Indiana for the event. I don't know of a time a lake effect event crushed Elkhart County like this. I ended with 6.4".

Sitting between bands now. The secondary band in Western St. Joseph County is very intense. I wonder if that will become the dominant band and move East. Dynamics must be incredible for lake effect snows right now. Sitting at 6.3” overall. Hoping the next band swings through overnight for another couple inches.

The band really getting its act together now. Probably some 2-3 inch per hour rates in there. My backyard went from 3 inches with the system to a total of 5.7” now. Still snowing but band is drifting East.

Moderate snow at the moment. Hoping the band stops its eastward progression and becomes stationary.

Lake effect band has come ashore in St. Joseph, MI.