sbnwx85

If the next run of the GFS shows an 1.5" of ice again for South Bend I'm posting for posterity with the laughing emoji.

I'll be gathering two of every animal and changing my name to Noah.

I bet they go Watch for their MI counties for ice concerns Saturday. I could see them including northern tier of IN counties and then deciding on upgrades later. I really think the state line is going to be the dividing line between cold rain and freezing rain/sleet.

National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI 1015 AM EST Thu Jan 9 2020 MIZ037>040-043>046-050>052-056>059-064>067-071>074-092315- /O.NEW.KGRR.WS.A.0001.200111T0300Z-200112T1500Z/ Mason-Lake-Osceola-Clare-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-Isabella-Muskegon- Montcalm-Gratiot-Ottawa-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-Allegan-Barry-Eaton- Ingham-Van Buren-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson- Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Clare, Hart, Fremont, Big Rapids, Mount Pleasant, Muskegon, Greenville, Alma, Grand Haven, Jenison, Grand Rapids, Ionia, St. Johns, Holland, Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, South Haven, Kalamazoo, Battle Creek, and Jackson 1015 AM EST Thu Jan 9 2020 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Rain transitioning to an icy mix is possible in southern portions of Michigan. An icy mix transitioning to snow is possible in central portions of Michigan. Snow, sleet, and ice accumulations may be significant. Winds could gust as high as 45 mph. * WHERE...Portions of central, south central, southwest and west central Michigan. * WHEN...From Friday evening through Sunday morning. * IMPACTS...Power outages and tree damage are likely due to the ice. Travel could be nearly impossible. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Two day storm total precipitation amounts, which includes the combination of rain and snow or ice water content, could approach winter season historical records in Southern Michigan. Prepare for the possibility of extended power outages and canceled travel plans. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && About as strongly worded a watch as GRR has ever put out.

The 3k NAM was showing icing in N IN but the latest run moved it north of the state line. Interested to see when/if GFS follows suit.

I’m considering picking up the towel I threw in earlier today...

Done. Good luck everyone.

C'mon, guys. Another 50 mile shift NW on the Euro and I'll be in the 60's on Saturday. We can do it.

3.3 inches of rain in 24 hours in January would have to be some kind of a record in South Bend, right? At least there's no snow pack so that should mitigate flooding concerns.

I’ll take my 2 inches of rain followed by 6 inches of snow. Better than the other way around (Still prepared for 3 inches of rain and that’s it. That’s the storm).

I'll take "interesting" at this point with the winter we've seen so far. I love interesting!

Big shift north with the wintry precip on the 12z GFS compared to the 00z. About 125 miles. If the trend continues I’ll be storm chasing this weekend

I’ll play along since this is the best thing we’ve had to track in a while. Temps would be in the upper 20’s in much of that icy area. If the wintry side of this system doesn’t work out I’ll live vicariously through the Southeast forums and track the severe wx potential. SPC has Day 6 and 7 slight risks out already for the Deep South. Edit: Edited to include map zoomed in.

Ended with 1.5” before it melted. Looked very pretty.

Can any of you weather experts help me identify what this white stuff falling from the sky is?

When I moved back home to the South Bend area I thought I'd see a big dog within a couple of years. I haven't seen a foot of snow on the ground since March 2013 when I lived in Jacksonville, IL. I moved back to South Bend in March of 2018. Last winter, Central Illinois got a big dog while I was nickel and dimed up here (The snows were more frequent...but I want a big one!). The biggest snow I've gotten in South Bend so far is about 6 inches. While the snow is more frequent it's been incredibly frustrating for me personally. Even the lake-effect has been disappointing outside of one good event this past November. I know it'll all even out eventually, but I figured this was a good place to vent for now. Thank you for attending my Ted Talk.

#Excited

Well that was a pretty exciting 12 hours, you guys.

Freezing drizzle did a number on the overpasses and bridges around here this evening. Lots of crashes reported. Flurries mixing in.

Tack on another degree for the record books RECORD EVENT REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 0421 PM EST THU DEC 26 2019 ...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT SOUTH BEND... A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 63 DEGREES WAS SET AT SOUTH BEND TODAY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 55 SET IN 1959.

I always say "if it ain't gonna snow in the winter it might as well be 60." SBN at 62 right now. I opened the back door to my apartment. Feels great!

Maybe our first ever “Snow Squall Warnings” could be issued in our neck of the woods?

Lock it in!

Record cold high set in South Bend...among many other locations I assume. RECORD EVENT REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 440 PM EST TUE NOV 12 2019 ...RECORD COLD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT SOUTH BEND... A RECORD COLD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 24 WAS SET AT SOUTH BEND TODAY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 27 SET IN 1920.

Dunlap (between Goshen and Elkhart) had a report of 18 inches. I think that's the jackpot for Indiana for the event. I don't know of a time a lake effect event crushed Elkhart County like this. I ended with 6.4".