sbnwx85

I had 6 inches here on Veterans Day and would be happy to book end the season with another six incher on April 17. Would be my two biggest snows this "winter".

IWX just expanded the Winter Wx Advisory to include its Michigan counties. Calling for 2-5 in Michigan counties. 3-6 south of there and 4-7 further south of that.

Winter doesn't start until around mid-April anymore. In all seriousness, if trends continue it wouldn't be a surprise to see a relatively narrow swath pick up 6 to 8 inches of snow out of this. Should be plenty of moisture to work with. The snow falling at night/morning will help with accumulations, too.

What's the record for most Winter Weather Advisories in a season?

I let out a very Ron Swanson giggle when I saw the GFS.

Storms to my west being warned for quarter size hail and 60 mph winds.

Yup. And already seeing some development just east of the lake shore. Amazing what a cold Lake Michigan does

It'll be interesting to see what happens when the best forcing comes onshore from Lake Michigan into SW MI and N IN. Will the line fill in quickly or will it be a swing and a miss?

I'm wondering if the gap over southern Lake Michigan will fill in before the line moves through my area. I'd be okay not dealing with severe weather tonight (never thought I'd say that. I think I'm getting old).

New Severe Tstorm Watch for N IL, NW IN and extreme E IA. URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 82 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 525 PM CDT Tue Apr 7 2020 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Far east-central Iowa Northern Illinois Far northwest Indiana Lake Michigan * Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 525 PM until 1100 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter possible Isolated damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...A couple supercells may evolve into an east-southeast progressing cluster along a cold front from far eastern Iowa through northern Illinois this evening. Large hail should be the primary hazard. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 35 statute miles north and south of a line from 75 miles west of Rockford IL to 15 miles north of Valparaiso IN. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 81... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 28035. ...Grams

Biggest hail I've ever seen was golf ball size. Quite frankly, that's big enough.

Lake effect overnight and this morning “saved” this event for me. Ended with 5.3”. Bring on Spring!

2.3 inches so far. Woo. It’s getting to the point where I don’t believe the atmosphere is capable of producing a snow of more than 3 inches.

Enjoy.

Ripping.

Heavy, wet snow. Dusting on the grass and cars. Radar looks good for my area.

The year of Winter Weather Advisories continues.

Holding my breath at this point.

It's not lost on me that the loss most are experiencing from this storm is my gain...and for that I'm sorry. Please accept my condolences.

Should add bust potential still high. I could see marginal temps leading to minor accumulations Tuesday night followed by getting dry slotted. In fact, that’s what I’m assuming will happen to keep expectations at bay.

My P&C from IWX going with 1-2 Tuesday night and 2-4 on Wednesday. A pretty good AFD. If trends with the 12z suite continue they may bump up totals.

Euro trying to get my hopes up. Stop that.

Hope nobody gets their hearts broken with this storm. We’re all prepared for something to go sideways with this 24 hours before the event happens. Not saying it will...but this winter has taught us to be prepared.

That cutoff in Indiana. Oof.