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Daniel Boone

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  1. Daniel Boone
    Tbh, I hadn't looked at them at all today either as feeling rough kept me from delving n2 them. So, just was getting the info from you guy's, of which is hard to beat. Great bunch we have here! A full latt. Trough was something that was prominent in the Winter of 78-79. Particularly January and February. Strong blocking was the impetus similar to what's being advertised now. The entire Nation was below average except for Maine and south Florida as I recall.
  2. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, good points buddy. Those ideas sure would be the desired and optimal way for us to get through the retro ridge situation for sure! Also, strong enough blocking along with the southern flat ridge could produce some overrunning situations. Maybe some dreaded ice scenarios. Depending on which side of the boundary, could also produce flooding .
  3. Daniel Boone
    If that ridge does retro to Aleutians that in and of itself in conjunction with the La niña is not good at all. Let alone MJO going n2 warm phases. If we maintain strong blocking however, it could offset the typical outcome of course.
  4. Daniel Boone
    Good point, especially with the Canadian doing that. The Canadian suite has performed well this fall/winter. However, I still think what u alluded to yesterday has merrit regarding model's adjusting to strong blocking. Just not alot that's been ingested in them regarding that.
  5. Daniel Boone
    Awfully close to calling for a big dog...
  6. Daniel Boone
    So far today's colder than forecast. Models may continue to trend down(hopefully) with the temps for the upcoming systems. If so, we all know what the outcome would be.
  7. Daniel Boone
    I've often wondered, how our area in the great Valley would fare snowfall wise if the mountains were a couple thousand feet lower or if our Valley was a couple thousand feet higher and their elevations as are. I'm sure we'd average more either way. What if the mountains weren't there at all ?
  8. Daniel Boone
    Bingo! I believe u hit the Nail on the head .
  9. Daniel Boone
    When the stratosphere ruins your seasonal model party Just a wee bit of adjustment for the January pattern on the new CanSips. New on the L, old on the R 4:03 PM · Jan 1, 2021·Twitter Web Appi
  10. Daniel Boone
    Happy New Year to all ! Hopefully the Weather will help make it happy for us here in the best forum as weathernut rightfully proclaimed.
  11. Daniel Boone
    If the strong blocking continues to be realised, you can bet models will trend south with systems. GFS looks to be still GooFuS at times.
  12. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, we're gonna see that as models try to adjust to the block. If the strong blocking is realised, models will trend south with systems within medium range the closer we get to their arrival.
  13. Daniel Boone
    Hopefully, it'll be shoved westward by HLB. Although La niña forcing may hamper that. We can still get cold enuff even without strong cold advection. Even can occasionally get enough eastern Canadian cold to help out.
  14. Daniel Boone
    Looks good for Miller b/a hybrids. Ala 95-96 . Clippers too I suppose, particularly when Ridging pops in the West.
  15. Daniel Boone
    Look at that "oddity" Jan. 96 one ! How often do u see that pattern occur ?!
  16. Daniel Boone
    Excellent Post !!!
  17. Daniel Boone
    Oh yeah, definitely agree! It's sure not the 60s and 70s anymore, when we scored regardless of a crap Pac. We wound up with 5.5 from last System. Claiborne, Bell and Lee all got more than forecasted. RGEM was on the money.
  18. Daniel Boone
    With Strong blocking, even with a crappy Pac, it can work out 4 us as long as enuff cold can be mustered up. Also , blocking should at least occasionally congest the Pac flow and buckle a Ridge in the West. Hopefully, timing with storms will work with that. But, yeah, at least a modest change would really up our odds.
  19. Daniel Boone
    Evolutions looking about like we had envisioned. Hopefully, that will be the case. If so, depending on the speed, could be fun and games (plural ☺)thru much of January and possibly Feb...*hopefully I don't pull a Jeff and jinx us . Thanks to all the work Carvers, Holston, John et al do . You guys are the best !
  20. Daniel Boone
    What we hope happens here is once the SSW Affects are underway the HLB will be strongly entrenched and the WAR will gradually erode sw to Ne, and allow troughs to undercut into the SE. Neg. tilted troughs can really dump on us snowwise.
  21. Daniel Boone
    Alot of oddities in the Weather these days. There was a time when A pretty much equalled B as far as cause and effect. As with the Gl block, War linkage. Used 2 b a rarity to almost non existent in the cold Season. Not anymore it appears. Could be the Atlantic warm phase. Alot of variables working in conjunction . Warmer overal NH. If we could get a consistent 50-50 low, that linkage wouldn't occur. Those ssts off NF could be partial culprit to that missing piece.
  22. Daniel Boone
    Made a trek to Middlesboro this afternoon . Along the way you could see differences in amounts but, not frequent, generally a couple miles apart. The greatest visually estimated depth was about 2 miles west of Jonesville, 6 to 8" (Pines were weighed down) reaching about 2 miles b4 lowering to 4 to 5" until reaching Ewing of which 5 to 6 " appeared to be the amounts from there to Middlesboro.
  23. Daniel Boone
    I'm not saying alot now other than along the lines of earlier opinion and Carvers in that Id rather the SSW wouldn't happen. Pattern we have been steadily moving n2 would be great going into January.
  24. Daniel Boone
    Isotherm just posted an excellent explanation on what we're discussing Carvers, in the MA forum. Makes sense.
  25. Daniel Boone
    I'm on a Ridge so just 6 here. Down in the Valleys around Rose Hill are typically some of the coldest in the County so, that stations reading of -1 most likely accurate. -30 readings reported back in Feb. 96 in Rose Hill.
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