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Daniel Boone

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  1. Daniel Boone
    Good point, especially with the Canadian doing that. The Canadian suite has performed well this fall/winter. However, I still think what u alluded to yesterday has merrit regarding model's adjusting to strong blocking. Just not alot that's been ingested in them regarding that.
  2. Daniel Boone
    Awfully close to calling for a big dog...
  3. Daniel Boone
    So far today's colder than forecast. Models may continue to trend down(hopefully) with the temps for the upcoming systems. If so, we all know what the outcome would be.
  4. Daniel Boone
    I've often wondered, how our area in the great Valley would fare snowfall wise if the mountains were a couple thousand feet lower or if our Valley was a couple thousand feet higher and their elevations as are. I'm sure we'd average more either way. What if the mountains weren't there at all ?
  5. Daniel Boone
    Bingo! I believe u hit the Nail on the head .
  6. Daniel Boone
    When the stratosphere ruins your seasonal model party Just a wee bit of adjustment for the January pattern on the new CanSips. New on the L, old on the R 4:03 PM · Jan 1, 2021·Twitter Web Appi
  7. Daniel Boone
    Happy New Year to all ! Hopefully the Weather will help make it happy for us here in the best forum as weathernut rightfully proclaimed.
  8. Daniel Boone
    If the strong blocking continues to be realised, you can bet models will trend south with systems. GFS looks to be still GooFuS at times.
  9. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, we're gonna see that as models try to adjust to the block. If the strong blocking is realised, models will trend south with systems within medium range the closer we get to their arrival.
  10. Daniel Boone
    Hopefully, it'll be shoved westward by HLB. Although La niña forcing may hamper that. We can still get cold enuff even without strong cold advection. Even can occasionally get enough eastern Canadian cold to help out.
  11. Daniel Boone
    Looks good for Miller b/a hybrids. Ala 95-96 . Clippers too I suppose, particularly when Ridging pops in the West.
  12. Daniel Boone
    Look at that "oddity" Jan. 96 one ! How often do u see that pattern occur ?!
  13. Daniel Boone
    Excellent Post !!!
  14. Daniel Boone
    Oh yeah, definitely agree! It's sure not the 60s and 70s anymore, when we scored regardless of a crap Pac. We wound up with 5.5 from last System. Claiborne, Bell and Lee all got more than forecasted. RGEM was on the money.
  15. Daniel Boone
    With Strong blocking, even with a crappy Pac, it can work out 4 us as long as enuff cold can be mustered up. Also , blocking should at least occasionally congest the Pac flow and buckle a Ridge in the West. Hopefully, timing with storms will work with that. But, yeah, at least a modest change would really up our odds.
  16. Daniel Boone
    Evolutions looking about like we had envisioned. Hopefully, that will be the case. If so, depending on the speed, could be fun and games (plural ☺)thru much of January and possibly Feb...*hopefully I don't pull a Jeff and jinx us . Thanks to all the work Carvers, Holston, John et al do . You guys are the best !
  17. Daniel Boone
    What we hope happens here is once the SSW Affects are underway the HLB will be strongly entrenched and the WAR will gradually erode sw to Ne, and allow troughs to undercut into the SE. Neg. tilted troughs can really dump on us snowwise.
  18. Daniel Boone
    Alot of oddities in the Weather these days. There was a time when A pretty much equalled B as far as cause and effect. As with the Gl block, War linkage. Used 2 b a rarity to almost non existent in the cold Season. Not anymore it appears. Could be the Atlantic warm phase. Alot of variables working in conjunction . Warmer overal NH. If we could get a consistent 50-50 low, that linkage wouldn't occur. Those ssts off NF could be partial culprit to that missing piece.
  19. Daniel Boone
    Made a trek to Middlesboro this afternoon . Along the way you could see differences in amounts but, not frequent, generally a couple miles apart. The greatest visually estimated depth was about 2 miles west of Jonesville, 6 to 8" (Pines were weighed down) reaching about 2 miles b4 lowering to 4 to 5" until reaching Ewing of which 5 to 6 " appeared to be the amounts from there to Middlesboro.
  20. Daniel Boone
    I'm not saying alot now other than along the lines of earlier opinion and Carvers in that Id rather the SSW wouldn't happen. Pattern we have been steadily moving n2 would be great going into January.
  21. Daniel Boone
    Isotherm just posted an excellent explanation on what we're discussing Carvers, in the MA forum. Makes sense.
  22. Daniel Boone
    I'm on a Ridge so just 6 here. Down in the Valleys around Rose Hill are typically some of the coldest in the County so, that stations reading of -1 most likely accurate. -30 readings reported back in Feb. 96 in Rose Hill.
  23. Daniel Boone
    yep. Like you brother, I'd read on it somewhere a few days ago and it had completely slipped my mind. ( product of being an antique on my part I guess. I'll blame it in that anyway). With the current pattern, I'd about rather it not happen as well. That one you mention actually ruined a good pattern for us. It helped the Rockies. ( as if they need any irt Snow, lol.).
  24. Daniel Boone
    The good thing about that is generally a ridge extending from Greenland all the way to the SE occurs during the warm seasons. It's keying on trough Nw pendulum ridge SE. I Remember in 95-96, troughs going n2 NW along with strong Greenland blocking and that scenario never happened. Although, a semblance of a SE Ridge would try to pop in conjunction , i.e., short mild flooding periods that winter as cutters shot up between the 2.. of course, the dreaded Hi Amp Warm phases MJO could possible cause that config..
  25. Daniel Boone
    Pretty much missed out on the streamers here 2day. They traversed thru Harlan Co. N2 Wise, Co. To our North. Then Claiborne southern Hancock and Hawkins southward to our South.
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