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Daniel Boone

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Everything posted by Daniel Boone

  1. They're pretty much always conservative. I'll say this, IF there's strong nw flow off the lakes and enuff steep lapse rates, I guarantee much more than they're showing. NW flow alone would yield more than 2 inches in places like Wise, Va for example..
  2. This is the one we're rooting for Carvers. CMC actually did better here the last couple seasons than the others a few times.
  3. One thing of note, especially with LR modeling is the heavy weighting of ENSO. So, this could be alot of the shifting to the western trough. Of course, may very well happen and of course with the strength of La niña, odds favor that.
  4. Agree John. Also, measurements were taken different back then by some. They would measure after snow ended and settled. Also, during drifting events they would measure the leveled or lowest area instead of different locations for an average.
  5. Here ya go guys. That one ruled the roost here as far as November Snowstorms. A true Blizzard ! Cars were completely covered here in Lee County from huge drifts . Higher eles. of County received 2 ft.+. Drifts much higher. Temps were in teens during day.
  6. I think that the npac difference may help direct the pac hp more east and polward than the typical ninas . May research and see how npac looked back in 95 and 2010 at this juncture.
  7. Winter 95-96 started early and ended late. Long , snowy winter ala of those of yore. It was a weak Nina. Strong HLB.
  8. Regarding the forecasted mild, fluke cold Winter of 2010-11, this area in the far Southwestern part of the Forum wound up with an above average Snow Season. Dec. and January was well above , Feb. Avg. Temps were well below.
  9. 1.60" Rainfall so far today as of 9 p.m..creeks and streams are high, not far from flooding in some locals. Some street and small stream flooding observed. Forecasts and models underforecasted amounts with this one here.
  10. No severe here tonight but, not far from flooding as have picked up over an inch and a half of Rain today and moderate to somewhat heavy at times continues.
  11. Just had a heavy snow shower here in Lee County with visibility down to 1/8 mile and Temp. in upper 30's. Rh was 59% when began so, no mixing due to evap.. Flakes were dime to nickel size. You can bet huge flakes and near whiteout higher eles.
  12. Just had a heavy snow shower with visibility down to 1/8 mile and Temp. in upper 30's. Rh was 59% when began so, no mixing due to evap.. Flakes were dime to nickel size. You can bet huge flakes and near whiteout higher eles.
  13. Down sloping from nearly every direction. Only direction without it for much of the great Valley is from the SW or SSW.
  14. Wound up with 1.8 inches overnight. 2 inch total yesterday last night combined.
  15. Time of day, solar heating from thin cloud deck really working against us ion eastern areas where snow started later and sun shined for awhile. Temp here currently 33.
  16. Started lightly here at 8;45 a.m. and became moderate for about an hour albeit the sun shown dimly thru a thin layer of stratuform . Ns and sc have developed over last hour but, snow is very fine.
  17. CMC did best for my area with this last snowfall. Others underforecasted amounts, per usual. Lee County should have been included in the wwa as should we this next go around as should several others with it imo.
  18. Measured 1.6 inches here. More in some grassy areas.
  19. Light Snow accumulation above 2000 ft. Here in Lee County this morning. Est., 1-2" .
  20. Light Snow accumulation above 2000 ft. Here in Lee County early this morning. Est., 1-2" .
  21. The 2009 event started around 9a.m. Dec. 18. as mainly rain but, some wet snow mixed in at Jonesville that continued lt to moderate until mid afternoon of which just over a half inch liquid was recorded in my gauge. At that time precip became heavy and transitioned to heavy, wet Snow. 5" recorded at my home (ele., 1422 ft.) by time ended that night. Electric went out and was off 40 hours. Higher elevations recorded all snow with 1 to 2 feet. Wise recorded 28 inches ! Reports of over 3 feet from Wise , Dickenson and Russel Counties. Highknoblandform.com has a great write-up with documented reports and pictures .
  22. That one had a sharp cutoff on its northern periphery. Here in Lee County I had 5 inches at my home in Jonesville at the time. Just a mile to my Southwest in Flatwoods there was 8". Stickleyville in se Lee County, between Wallens ridge and Powell Mtn. reported 9 inches. St Charles just the other side of Stone Mountain had a dusting. Big Stone gap had none.
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