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Daniel Boone

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Everything posted by Daniel Boone

  1. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, really wondering what they di with the gfs upgrade. Makes you curious to whether they felt there was still a cold bias and adjusted to that too much.
  2. Daniel Boone
    I am in the same boat as you . Delayed changes always makes me skiddish and less confident. My guess is it will occur but, may be similar to the last cool spell in duration. Could be a cycle until the nina weakens and the MJO can excert more influence in the western PAC to change things up. It is possible due to that prospect alone, mid/late Winter may be better than many believe.
  3. Daniel Boone
    You can bet the weather outlets, apps and even most NWSFO's are going with the GFS .
  4. Daniel Boone
    Yep. Typically what happens when a block sets up. Models usually adjust south with Systems as well. Our biggest worry is a connect with the SER and -NAO. If that doesn't happen we may be in business in a week to 10 days snow wise.
  5. Daniel Boone
    Nice to have you interacting. You bring some great input.
  6. Daniel Boone
    Good seeing you on here Gate City representative beeb awhile.
  7. Daniel Boone
    I'm the same way, lol
  8. Daniel Boone
    Yeah. That would definitely help and may very well be what happens as that has been the case this fall. Model's always have problems when blocking sets up. It's possible they revert back to sustained troughiness in the East like earlier depictions. Back in my day, over 90% of the time a -NAO led to cold in the East even while the West was cold. Recently, the SER/-NAO hook-up has been more prevalent. I may research and see if the occurrence is mainly during Nina's. I suspect it is. Makes sense.
  9. Daniel Boone
    SER and -NAO too strong for one ; allowing for easy coupling. Too bad the SER isn't further east out by the Sargasso Sea. That would allow cold to come further East even if they were connected/coupled. Hopefully, at the very least one will be weaker than modeleled and allow for a disconnected conduit.
  10. Daniel Boone
    Dayum !
  11. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, that usually is the case irt model's adjusting to the block. However, PNA so neg, don't know about it this time.
  12. Daniel Boone
    Dam*** Nina.
  13. Daniel Boone
    This was the earliest leaf fall here in many years. The earliest I remember was 1976. Trees were bare by the first week of November. Maples began changing color by the 3rd week in August!
  14. Daniel Boone
    yeah, if its correct i'm right with you. depressing.
  15. Daniel Boone
    Yep, exactly what I feared. It's a shame we can't have -NAO setup while there's a -EPO and +PNA in place.
  16. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, I knew it is a nina response however, prefer it further east, ala 95-96 and other more favorable nina years with blocking. Miller b to A hybrids are pretty common in those. Agree on that TPV near Hudson.
  17. Daniel Boone
    It does occasionally.
  18. Daniel Boone
    Don't like those high heights in the Gulf. Hope that's exaggerated.
  19. Daniel Boone
    Better hope it's wrong actually. Don't won't a nao ser linkage, of which has happened a few times in recent years, and that looks close to a possible occurrence, imo. Used to be very rare back in the day.
  20. Daniel Boone
    I've not looked but, sounds like a Miller B to Miller A transfer type. That happened several times in '95-96.
  21. Daniel Boone
    Would be nice !
  22. Daniel Boone
    Picked up 0.99" here. Much of the heavier stuff stayed to my SW. It was a good soaking rain. Brings Monthly Total to 3.16". Over an inch below avg..
  23. Daniel Boone
    I used to keep up with him but, he doesn't deserve any respect. All he does is rail others if they don't see things how he does or believe like he does. Calls other's terrible names etc....
  24. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, and we've witnessed that the last few years. That's something that almost never happened in the Winter back in the day.
  25. Daniel Boone
    I think a bit sooner providing the NAO/ SER don't link.
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