HillsdaleMIWeather

They've been backing off on the dry slotting some, so I think it should be fine knock on wood for you all.

Euro and GFS basically same spot over IL, might finally have reached consensus

TWC now calling for 6-11 here

The cold also keeps dropping further south run to run, so even if it keeps going south we'd still be good

WPC update is out, leans towards GFS but says a Euro scenario isn't out of the question, only average confidence.

If the south ticking continues, they all got it wrongish

The CMC is the definition of spreading the wealth

12Z 3K NAM is a little south in Wisconsin it looks like

12 NAM might be north, but is wayyy stronger with the precip

06Z GFS still going north

FWIW, 06Z NAM was south

Unless the 0Z suite changes, probably will be able to throw in the towel locally

NAM is a smidge north

IWX says all the weighted ensemble means remain south

WPC update: --18Z UPDATE--- No change to the initial model preference. The 12Z ECMWF slowed down the trough over the Gulf further, but the same preference in that area (timing compromise) is still preferred. With the clipper system, the 12Z UKMET trended closer to the GFS for the low track, but the ECMWF remained closer south and was joined by the GEFS Mean. The preference there is to continue with a non-NAM blend, with a slightly higher weight on the GFS. The GEFS is in more agreement with the Euro according to them

Yep, it's even colder than the GFS at times

You were all saying that about the storm last week, and it shifted around this much. Calm down.

GEM is a touch north, still most south

GFS a touch north, I seriously doubt the rain its showing though

IWXs AFD on this is beautiful, the perfect mix of warning and geeking out

Euro is almost the same spot as the GFS at 96

IWX about to do the same as LOT, they're expecting more freezing rain now

Got almost 10 inches here in Litchfield, that F-Gen band last night was a great help

Have gotten almost 2 in already from the moderate snow here

Moderate snow here in Litchfield