dwagner88
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Everything posted by dwagner88
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Officially at TDOT we brine unless more than 1” of rain is expected to fall. This was borderline. We will brine.
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I like how similar the NAM and GFS look right now. That’s about the best consistency we’ve seen yet.
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Holy crap. ATL metro has a rough forecast with that run. I have to think some of that is ice/sleet down there.
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That optimism worked well for you guys last February. Sadly I emerged from that “Arctic Outbreak” even more skeptical than before.
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My heart goes out to all the professional mets out there. This forecast feels impossible. Tremendous bust potential in either direction.
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To NC.
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That’s my threshold for every event. The situation is dire down here.
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Standards for warning criteria can and should be based on topography. GSP does this. We would have to almost double our annual seasonal average in Chattanooga to reach warning criteria for MRX. It’s nonsensical.
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My favorite local met since Paul retired. He’s a good one.
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Check, please!
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FFC has expanded their WSW for all northern counties. Once again, the valley is completely enclosed on all sides by winter storm watches. I wish this was a rare occurrence, but it really isn’t.
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Is there anything still showing >0.5" for KCHA? I'm trying to determine how they formulated their forecast. Seems like things have ticked upwards down here today.
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HRRR should be pretty decent for down here with that track, but the thermals are all messed up. I still don't know what to think.
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Yep. I've had a pretty significant ice storm that only affected the extreme southern portion of the metro area. I think it was on Christmas 10-12 year ago.
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I don't think anyone will be able to say with any certainty until tomorrow mid day. And we may not even know then.
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Like it or not, there is snow in every single square inch of the state on that run. That is incredibly rare. In fact I can't ever remember that happening from a single storm.
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Gotta be BL temps.
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Mystery solved. All the TV Mets are using ensemble number 19. Or maybe a blend of 19, 36, and 44.
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Not touching this one yet. I've been hurt before. Recently.
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We need cold HP in Indiana, not Iowa. Otherwise we warm nose to death.
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Wicked Valley snow hole on that run. Accumulations in a circle all around the valley in all directions, even south.
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This smells like a March 2009 heartbreak to me. Three strikes in January. Guess that means we are out.
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Stacking would be important to Valley folks. A more stacked system is less likely to reform off the SC/GA coast. Edit: I don’t know why I capitalized Valley. I kinda like it. I’m keeping it.
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HRRR shears it out over the Plateau for most. Could help those north of 40.
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PWS's on Lookout mountain are all subfreezing and almost certainly getting significant freezing rain.
