dwagner88
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Everything posted by dwagner88
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Can report all liquid rain in East Brainerd. I’m pretty low in elevation though. Only around 800 ft. It is 40 here, but the trend line on my PWS is down, so it’s dropping.
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The models aren’t sure about it either. I understand how it happens. The strong downsloping results in an area of low pressure forming up against the foothills. If the storm gets stronger it will run up that area. If it stays weak enough, it will transfer across GA to the SC lowcountry. We want the latter to occur.
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HRRR continues to pound the lower plateau counties. Lighter in the southern valley. It still really stiffs the Central Valley around TYS for some reason.
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It is. I suspect their argument is that the actual blizzard conditions will be so isolated that it doesn’t make sense to issue the product. Same logic they use down here to leave Signal and Lookout Mountains without any winter weather products.
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This actually legit worries me for the mountains around here. It will have similar impacts to an ice storm. A severe one.
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I sense some foreshadowing here. . .
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That might get me to watch the weather channel again.
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NBM must rely heavily on the HRRR. The 21Z ends up looking almost exactly like MRX’s call map. No bueno for the valley.
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I’m just completely shocked that there are no advisories out at all for the 20,000 people that live at elevation in Hamilton county. Makes no sense to me at all.
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Slides on the homepage updated. Chattanooga went from >0.5 to 0.5”. I’ll get my shovel ready.
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No expansion of the WWA with the afternoon update. The higher elevations of Hamilton now have warning criteria snow forecasted and zero winter products out.
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NAM is pretty darn consistent down here. Divide the above map by 2 due to ratio issues.
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Why is NBM so much stingier than all other guidance?
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Good gravy. I would love to be excited about this, but I have zero idea what to expect. I want some snow, but not so much that we lose power. Signal and Lookout are going to be lights out. No doubt.
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I mean at least a WWA is warranted area wide. Not sure what they are waiting for.
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Officially at TDOT we brine unless more than 1” of rain is expected to fall. This was borderline. We will brine.
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I like how similar the NAM and GFS look right now. That’s about the best consistency we’ve seen yet.
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Holy crap. ATL metro has a rough forecast with that run. I have to think some of that is ice/sleet down there.
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That optimism worked well for you guys last February. Sadly I emerged from that “Arctic Outbreak” even more skeptical than before.
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My heart goes out to all the professional mets out there. This forecast feels impossible. Tremendous bust potential in either direction.
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To NC.
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That’s my threshold for every event. The situation is dire down here.
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Standards for warning criteria can and should be based on topography. GSP does this. We would have to almost double our annual seasonal average in Chattanooga to reach warning criteria for MRX. It’s nonsensical.
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My favorite local met since Paul retired. He’s a good one.
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Check, please!
