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Everything posted by dwagner88
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Standards for warning criteria can and should be based on topography. GSP does this. We would have to almost double our annual seasonal average in Chattanooga to reach warning criteria for MRX. It’s nonsensical.
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My favorite local met since Paul retired. He’s a good one.
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Check, please!
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FFC has expanded their WSW for all northern counties. Once again, the valley is completely enclosed on all sides by winter storm watches. I wish this was a rare occurrence, but it really isn’t.
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Is there anything still showing >0.5" for KCHA? I'm trying to determine how they formulated their forecast. Seems like things have ticked upwards down here today.
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HRRR should be pretty decent for down here with that track, but the thermals are all messed up. I still don't know what to think.
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Yep. I've had a pretty significant ice storm that only affected the extreme southern portion of the metro area. I think it was on Christmas 10-12 year ago.
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I don't think anyone will be able to say with any certainty until tomorrow mid day. And we may not even know then.
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Like it or not, there is snow in every single square inch of the state on that run. That is incredibly rare. In fact I can't ever remember that happening from a single storm.
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Gotta be BL temps.
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Mystery solved. All the TV Mets are using ensemble number 19. Or maybe a blend of 19, 36, and 44.
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Not touching this one yet. I've been hurt before. Recently.
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We need cold HP in Indiana, not Iowa. Otherwise we warm nose to death.
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Wicked Valley snow hole on that run. Accumulations in a circle all around the valley in all directions, even south.
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This smells like a March 2009 heartbreak to me. Three strikes in January. Guess that means we are out.
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Stacking would be important to Valley folks. A more stacked system is less likely to reform off the SC/GA coast. Edit: I don’t know why I capitalized Valley. I kinda like it. I’m keeping it.
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HRRR shears it out over the Plateau for most. Could help those north of 40.
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PWS's on Lookout mountain are all subfreezing and almost certainly getting significant freezing rain.
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I have a little insider info on this. Server problem. Undergoing emergency maintenance. Terrible timing.
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If it makes you feel any better, I doubt it would have mattered. I stayed cloudy all day and still went from 29 to 36 this morning. We are getting light sleet as the column saturates.
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Well I am currently sitting at 29 degrees. We may get a little light sleet before WAAing into a lovely 34 degree rain all day.
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I'm a lot less excited about this storm than the last one. I actually think we had better chances of accumulation from the last storm. I strongly suspect this trends to 100% rain for almost all of SE TN outside the mountains. Flash freezing after the rain may be an issue though.
