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snowman19

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Everything posted by snowman19

  1. Yep. Best of luck getting a snowstorm in the metro area with a very strong primary low cutting that far north before coastal redevelopment takes over. This is an all rain event
  2. The CMC is an extreme outlier. Toss it right into the trash where it belongs. Saying it’s not is wishcasting, pure and simple
  3. I’m worried about a dangerous Atlantic hurricane season coming up…record warm MDR already, ++AMO, rapidly developing (possibly strong) La Niña…bad, bad combination. I also think we see a very hot summer with a likely roided up SE ridge and given the extreme soil moisture we have in place, it’s probably going to be humid as hell too
  4. Yep, big warmup coming, multi-model ensemble agreement on that too. Would not surprise me at all to see widespread 70’s show up again
  5. The storm is trending into an interior northern New England event. April, strong primary/parent low driving into Lake Erie, no antecedent arctic airmass in place prior to the event, strong WAR out ahead of it, coastal redevelopment happens too late for this latitude….
  6. We haven’t seen a “south trend” all winter long. Good luck lol @Brian5671 Agree 100% with you, the comparisons being made by some on X to 4/6/82 are wishcasting at its finest. We had a very anomalous true arctic outbreak back then. It is apples and oranges, not even remotely close
  7. I think we hit the 80’s by mid-April
  8. “X” has already decided that it’s going to be a historic I-95 snowstorm/blizzard. In their world, winter doesn’t end until June
  9. @JetsPens87 Right on que, here come the 10:1 operational model “snow” maps lol
  10. 0.001% chance of that happening
  11. I wish I had a dollar for every time they showed a +PNA/-EPO/-WPO/-AO/-NAO/50-50 Low pattern in the long range since 2016
  12. Just what we need…..another 1”+ of rain!
  13. I don’t think it’s going to just be dry heat, not with the record soil moisture we have. It’s probably going to be humid as hell
  14. I have a feeling that we are going to see the SE ridge start rearing its ugly head in a real big way in about a month from now. This summer may be brutal
  15. My buddy is on his 2nd sump pump motor in his cellar since October. The ground is so saturated it runs nonstop
  16. We will be in the bullseye come Wednesday
  17. You’ll still be wishcasting snow on Memorial Day weekend
  18. It’s not turning into an I-95 snowstorm lol
  19. Give it up. Winter’s over
  20. My wife’s cousin lives in Pine Bush, she said there’s real good icing up that way
  21. Don’t be surprised if we see thunder and lightning later. The soundings support elevated convection. It’s extremely unstable
  22. Extremely impressive radar. It’s going to be absolutely torrential soon. Would not surprise me if there’s 4+ inch rain totals in the metro area
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