snowman19
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Everything posted by snowman19
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If that warm front advances through and we get westerly downsloping flow with sun on Saturday, 80 degrees in parts of the area (away from the coast) is definitely achievable
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The same people on these forums still chasing snow ghosts. Gotta admire their determination, they’ve been going strong since November, 5 months and counting….
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If the ICON is correct, we get damn close to 80 degrees next weekend
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The only ones who think we are going back into winter are Joe Bastardi and Mark Margavage. The long range into April looks warm
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I think we will have the 1st legit shot at 80+ in the area come the 1st week of April. The SE ridge is starting to show up on the long range ensembles
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@40/70 Benchmark Maybe finally, at long last we are going into a -AMO cycle like we had in the 1980’s?
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It looks like we may finally be going into a -AMO cycle like we had in the 1980’s:
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Yep. Trees and telephone poles down galore in my area. Numerous reports of thundersnow with that storm too. Real strong elevated convection, I remember the NAM soundings being dead on from the 12z run, showing off the charts CAPE instability with intense UVVs. HM was still active in these forums at that point and I remember him saying there was going to be a lot of lightning/thunder with the band that formed
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The frontogen/deform band from the storm that hit around the afternoon rush hour St. Patrick’s Day week (I forget the actual date) back in 2018 was insane. It was the heaviest snow I ever saw in my life. Cars were stuck on almost every road I turned down coming home from work. It was easily snowing at 4” per hour at one point, true white out conditions
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It’s a total embarrassment and it pulls this crap literally every March and early-mid April….shows historic blizzards and 20, 30, 40 inches of snow over a 16 day period, which ends of verifying as not even so much as a trace. Complete circus show
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I enjoy the entertainment value
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And just like that…..the unbelievably horrendous, outlier GFS completely caves to all the other guidance for Friday. Poof! It’s gone! Literally the worst model there is, hands down. Not even worth looking at anymore
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Close your eyes and what do you see?
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And there is no support from any other models. Zero, zilch, nada, zippo, nothing. Literally not one other model (EURO, CMC, EURO-AI, ICON, UKMET, NAM, RGEM, NBM) looks anything at all like the GFS. It’s in a universe all to its own again and it’s going to be wrong again. People can track GFS digital snow ghosts all they want, that’s their right. They’ve been doing it since November, so why stop now?
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IMO an El Niño (even weak) for the fall/winter is looking less and less likely by the day
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More digital, phantom snow from the Garbage Forecasting System!!
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Unfortunately Friday isn’t looking good. My little cousin has his 1st high school baseball scrimmage on Friday afternoon. Looks like that may be in jeopardy now
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It’s doomed. Joe Bastardi is already hyping it as a snowstorm. He’s the unequivocal kiss of death for northeast snowstorms
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Yea, interior, elevated Northern New England….
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NYC has a chance of rain. Try again in December
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Try again in December. It’s been over and done since 2/20
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The biggest drought in the NYC metro area in over 23 years but according to some, nothing to see here. Normal. Fake drought. It’s not real…..
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We were close to 90 degrees back in March, 2012. It was right after St. Patrick’s Day. It was the earliest in the year I can ever remember having to turn my A/C on
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The peepers are already out again at night. A sure sign spring has arrived
