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snowman19

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Everything posted by snowman19

  1. Some were saying this week’s pattern looked like April of ‘82. Obviously a horrible match
  2. So much for the April, 1982 hype on “X” last week….
  3. Thankfully it looks like this week is the beginning of the end of this horrific pattern. My little cousin’s little league season starts on Saturday. Hoping for decent weather from here on out for them
  4. I think we easily see 3+ inches of rain between today and Friday morning
  5. NAM cold bias again. God awful model. It was way too cold all winter long. Outlier….tossed
  6. This wouldn’t have been a snowstorm in the metro area in mid-January let alone April. All rain event start to finish….
  7. The NAM at 84 hours is like looking at the Famer’s Almanac for a forecast
  8. I would argue that even for interior central New England, this is not a snowstorm, not with a juiced up primary low cutting that far north
  9. Soil moisture is over 120% of normal right now and all the rivers, lakes, streams and reservoirs are at capacity. The last thing we need is more rain but here it comes again
  10. Yep. Best of luck getting a snowstorm in the metro area with a very strong primary low cutting that far north before coastal redevelopment takes over. This is an all rain event
  11. The CMC is an extreme outlier. Toss it right into the trash where it belongs. Saying it’s not is wishcasting, pure and simple
  12. I’m worried about a dangerous Atlantic hurricane season coming up…record warm MDR already, ++AMO, rapidly developing (possibly strong) La Niña…bad, bad combination. I also think we see a very hot summer with a likely roided up SE ridge and given the extreme soil moisture we have in place, it’s probably going to be humid as hell too
  13. Yep, big warmup coming, multi-model ensemble agreement on that too. Would not surprise me at all to see widespread 70’s show up again
  14. The storm is trending into an interior northern New England event. April, strong primary/parent low driving into Lake Erie, no antecedent arctic airmass in place prior to the event, strong WAR out ahead of it, coastal redevelopment happens too late for this latitude….
  15. We haven’t seen a “south trend” all winter long. Good luck lol @Brian5671 Agree 100% with you, the comparisons being made by some on X to 4/6/82 are wishcasting at its finest. We had a very anomalous true arctic outbreak back then. It is apples and oranges, not even remotely close
  16. I think we hit the 80’s by mid-April
  17. “X” has already decided that it’s going to be a historic I-95 snowstorm/blizzard. In their world, winter doesn’t end until June
  18. @JetsPens87 Right on que, here come the 10:1 operational model “snow” maps lol
  19. 0.001% chance of that happening
  20. I wish I had a dollar for every time they showed a +PNA/-EPO/-WPO/-AO/-NAO/50-50 Low pattern in the long range since 2016
  21. Just what we need…..another 1”+ of rain!
  22. I don’t think it’s going to just be dry heat, not with the record soil moisture we have. It’s probably going to be humid as hell
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