snowman19

https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?rh=2024031112&fh=222&dpdt=&mc=&r=us_ne&p=snodpc_acc-mean-imp&m=gefsens

The op GFS again. We’re done, we’ve been done. @Rjay You’re going to have to hire grief counselors for some in here soon I think…..

The PAC and Atlantic have been in a positive feedback loop for years now and keep going right back to their default states no matter what ENSO does. Probably AGW related, which is accelerating very quickly now

Very early obviously, but it’s looking like yet another La Niña (possibly strong), -PDO, ++AMO and blazing WPAC SSTs on the way again for next fall/winter. Groundhog Day continues

And just like that…it’s gone!!

It’s extremely unstable already stratocumulus and cumulus clouds galore right now

I don’t know what’s scarier, the fact that he’s still posting this garbage after his epic, monumental failure of a winter forecast or the fact that his followers are delusional enough to still believe him…..

It never even started south of interior central and northern New England

Unfortunately given the ridiculously high soil moisture and ++AMO, I think we are in for a very humid summer. The developing La Niña and continued -PDO alone supports a hot summer and strong WAR/SE ridge

Easily got close to 2 inches up here. Torrential rain last night. It’s been relentless for the last 6 months. My buddy said the sump pump in has cellar hasn’t stopped running since October. The ground and soil is completely saturated, can’t hold anymore water. The rivers, lakes, streams, reservoirs are all at capacity

More digital day 10+ snow on the operational GFS. Lol

Not only was he forecasting a Modoki Nino and using 57-58, 65-66, 02-03 and 09-10 as his analogs, he also said 76-77, 77-78 and 14-15 were analogs in the fall. Completely ludicrous and blatant wishcasting. Nothing, not one thing pointed to that at any point. It was delusional to suggest otherwise. He went completely off the rails AGAIN and simply found the coldest and snowiest El Niño/borderline El Niño winters for the east coast and said they were great analogs. In doing so he completely lost what very minimal credibility he still had left and made himself look like a total fool just to appease his east coast weenie base and get subscription money, likes, follows and retweets. It was utterly embarrassing but I don’t think he cared one bit

I knew as soon as I saw JB hyping it, it was doomed. The guy is the kiss of death

Assuming the Al is even correct, you won’t see snow outside of interior, elevated northern New England. It’s not even remotely cold enough here. Late March, spring climo FTW

Yes!!! More rain!!! It’s over. Dead. Let it go. Try again in 9 months when it’s December

He’s hyping it on twitter

Ok Joe Bastardi

I knew it was bad but didn’t realize it was that bad. I thought Boston had well over a foot right now

Not for NYC snow he’s not

The severe cold and high latitude blocking bias the models have had since November has been mind blowing. Totally astonishing. Bust after bust after bust for the last 5 months in a row. Hard to believe actually. The busted digital snow fantasies in the long range have been equally as bad

In an absolutely shocking development:

Extremely unlikely that it is. Like winning the lottery odds of it being correct. It’s a game of how many times are people going to fall for it now. Even if it was right, it’s late March at that point…..too little, too late

The MJO is going to win, again. Hit the repeat button. It’s like the movie Groundhog Day. This has been happening with the long range models since November, phantom blocking mirages over and over again. “Fool me once, shame on you, fool me twice, shame on me”