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Metasequoia

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Everything posted by Metasequoia

  1. Metasequoia
    I'm not sure when 6Z and 18Z EURO runs started, but they are a thing. The operational run only goes to 90 hours or so.
  2. Metasequoia
    Take a look...snow to rain. https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/2019030112/new-jersey/significant-weather/20190304-0000z.html
  3. Metasequoia
    You have a map of said alot of precip?
  4. Metasequoia
    from NE forum (ORH_wxman) looks good to me...
  5. Metasequoia
    12Z FV3 is a big hit. Rain snow line is a bit too close for comfort though. https://tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=fv3p&region=neus&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2019030112&fh=60
  6. Metasequoia
  7. Metasequoia
    12Z NAM looks even better for Sunday night. Nice trends. https://tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=namconus&region=neus&pkg=ref_frzn&runtime=2019030112&fh=6
  8. Metasequoia
    https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/2019030100/new-jersey/significant-weather/20190304-0400z.html
  9. Metasequoia
    0Z EURO took another significant jump southeast. NYC is now half snow (front end) and half rain. 6Z NAM improved markedly...also snow to rain for NYC.
  10. Metasequoia
    I want to believe the UKIE is right, but it has shown one pretty benchmark storm after another this Winter. I don't know how it gets such a high verification score.
  11. Metasequoia
    12Z EURO ensembles improved from 0Z...much better than operational run. Not a bad place to be 4 plus days out IMO.
  12. Metasequoia
    Looks like NYC will have sleet until being dryslotted...then rain moves through.
  13. Metasequoia
    I'll say. I do like sleet...not as much as snow though. Maybe it's my Catholic upbringing, but I like the sting a bit.
  14. Metasequoia
    Yeah, many short range models indicate a "headfake", but the radar does look great. I was shocked when I looked...
  15. Metasequoia
    12Z GFS FWIW
  16. Metasequoia
    Sounds like a reduction from the 0Z run...
  17. Metasequoia
    Certainly not a pain. I unfortunately don't have access to these particular snow maps other than what the NE forum folks post.
  18. Metasequoia
  19. Metasequoia
    12Z UKIE Lets see if we get support from EURO.
  20. Metasequoia
    Totally right. We are in the heart of Winter...February is historically a great month for snow and March is no slouch. Plus, backloaded Winters have been a common theme over the last half of this decade.
  21. Metasequoia
    You have a map for this you'd like to share?
  22. Metasequoia
    This looks very icy for NYC at the end of the NAM's run.
  23. Metasequoia
    ...or continue its march south. I would think that every storm system is different.
  24. Metasequoia
    Non Kuchera prior to transition to freezing rain...
  25. Metasequoia
    Looks like parts of NYC are at or below freezing on this panel... Am I wrong on this?
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