Metasequoia
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Everything posted by Metasequoia
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Where can I sign? Looks great...perhaps the boundary layer doesn't support these accumulations?
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I thought the GFS and CMC were close to something decent for NYC. If the low bombs out 6 or so hours earlier then maybe the CCB clobbers.
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Ukie has produced a few runs like this recently...maybe not quite this good though.
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Looks closer a BECS than a MECS.
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Ideal track for the metro?
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Five days to go. The low could still end up being 50 plus miles east and stronger, which would significantly change the outcome for the better. Of course it could just rain too...
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I thought para was a new version of a weather model that's being tested.
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Hmmm...I wonder how it compares to the standard European model regarding accuracy.
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Yes. Nearly everything has to go right for the City...lower Hudson Valley has more hope. Maybe there's a slushy inch for wave one unless a norlun appears from the mists.
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I don't hate this look a week out ...obviously further south is preferred.
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It's time to move onto the next late season opportunity whatever that is. There hasn't been a good model run for our region in days and the storm is two days away.
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A fourth flash and crack of thunder in BPC...and still not really sticking. Pretty sweet nonetheless.
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A third time just now.
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Second lightening strike with thunder in Battery Park City. So weird.
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No Joke.
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Thundersnow in Battery Park City!
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Another possible outcome...hopefully not realized.
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Listening to people's reactions as the Euro was running, it sounded like the storm went up the St Lawrence Seaway...granted we weren't Jackpotted.
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The 12Z Euro did bump north quite a lot, but verbatim, it's still a decent snow for NYC and north. Of course things could keep moving north...
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Looks like a substantively better GFS run to me. Best GFS run in many cycles.
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https://www.weather.gov/nerfc/snow
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I don't hate where we're sitting 6 days out. There's a lot support for a large storm coming up the east coast with a lot of blocking in place. The models are likely going to flop all over the place for several days to come. Too early to throw in the towel or get too excited.
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Sleeting in lower Manhattan...maybe still some rain mixed in.
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Probably referring to the 1888 blizzard. 1993 was a KU for many though and you'd agree, pretty significant for NYC.
