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Metasequoia

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Everything posted by Metasequoia

  1. Metasequoia
    Fairly long duration as modeled.
  2. Metasequoia
    I wonder if the models are under doing the western extent of the precipitation. Seems under done for a sub 980 mb low.
  3. Metasequoia
    As Forky suggested, let's wait until the wave arrives in the SW second half of tomorrow before getting excited or dejected. This is an important feature in the evolution of this storm.
  4. Metasequoia
    New England forum says ICON is way east.
  5. Metasequoia
    Keeps hope alive for the Weenies!
  6. Metasequoia
    I would sure like some more support for a KU from other models...
  7. Metasequoia
    Before we get hopes too high, we need the other real models to output significant hits for the region. They are trending that way, but slowly. It was nice to see the 12Z RGEM handling the SW energy like the EURO.
  8. Metasequoia
    January 26th, 2016 and January 4th, 2018 blizzards were south/east of the benchmark and unloaded on the region. Part of this is where the lows came from prior to arriving near the benchmark.
  9. Metasequoia
    952 mb near the benchmark. How doesn't this bury the metro?
  10. Metasequoia
    This you having fun with us or do you really think we get shafted again like 2015? Painful memories...
  11. Metasequoia
    Anyone have a good rationale how this storm could develop a warm core as depicted by the EURO?
  12. Metasequoia
    Yeah...tenuous at 5 days out. Inland runner and whiff still on the table IMO. Whiff still my biggest concern...but we could all be hoping for an eastern correction in the days ahead. Still nice to see these runs tonight.
  13. Metasequoia
    What's to stop this from running inland? I know the Atlantic blocking isn't that strong...that's part of the answer.
  14. Metasequoia
    Snow is mixing in Battery Park City.
  15. Metasequoia
    FWIW - NAM outside of its useful range, looks more promising. I still don't like the placement of that high though.
  16. Metasequoia
    0Z RAP Not so bad...
  17. Metasequoia
    Link to free EURO site. https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/2021031100/colorado/acc-total-precipitation/20210317-0000z.html
  18. Metasequoia
    Still snowing in southern Manhattan...never stopped.
  19. Metasequoia
    What are the odds that NYC breaks its all-time snowfall record?
  20. Metasequoia
    That mixing line is sure racing north through NJ fast...
  21. Metasequoia
    I think there are going to be some all time snowfall records toppled in the region this week.
  22. Metasequoia
    06Z Para GFS would do just fine for about everyone. Model has been amazingly consistent.
  23. Metasequoia
    Yeah... I'm not talking about all the meteorological mechanics (which are cool), but the geographic spread / depth of accumulations and long duration. Has still a ways to go though.
  24. Metasequoia
    Some of the models tonight almost make this storm look like Jan 2016 redux.
  25. Metasequoia
    Yeah...always exceptions. I remember that one. I experienced my first thunder sleet. 2 inches of LE sleet. Still a pretty cool storm for many.
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