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EastonSN+

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  1. EastonSN+
    Thanks Don. I am starting to lean towards the lower end given the guidance. You may have the date, however, it was either january 1993 or 1994 (the cold and icy winter) which had a similar setup to this. Believe the city was 5 degrees in the morning and within 5 or 6 hours flipped to sleet (i do not recall the exact amount that fell). Boston was all snow and received over a foot. This setup and cold air in place seems like a carbon copy. Perhaps can be used as a guide on thos event.
  2. EastonSN+
    Horrible trends for us today. One more bump and its sleets to Boston (a possibility at this point). Bad mood so... . Tomorrow disappointment 4 to 8 and a lot of sleet. Cold and dry for 7 days. Warm up and rain from a coastal hugger with a stale airmass. SSWE fails and everyone blames GW and says in 1900 we would have had 150 inches in the same setup.
  3. EastonSN+
    February 3rd has some signal. Could be a coastal hugger too.
  4. EastonSN+
    Thanks. I hope nothing worse than cold and dry
  5. EastonSN+
    You were right on this one. Starting to think closer to 6 before the flip but will range 6 to 10 in case the initial thump is impressive. Is that what your thoughts are?
  6. EastonSN+
    Looked st the models this morning Going with 6 to 10 for CPK. Good news is the sleet will make the pack even stronger/last longer.
  7. EastonSN+
    Talk about no change run to run lol.
  8. EastonSN+
    So the 12k flipped to sleet quicker but the sleet line did not get as far north which is a step in the right direction. We need 1 more tick like that.
  9. EastonSN+
    I believe central park had 7.5 inches before the thundersleet. Up here in CT had 9.5 before the thunder sleet
  10. EastonSN+
    The NAM was a step in the right direction.
  11. EastonSN+
  12. EastonSN+
    The sleet does not get as far north as 18z. Sleet arrived a bit faster but did not go as far north.
  13. EastonSN+
    It actually increased in Philly too (the age old how much for Philly question).
  14. EastonSN+
    Yeah they have the snowfall map in the MA forum and it looks like their snowfall increased this run.
  15. EastonSN+
    Would happen to have 12z? Hate 10 to 1 miss represents southern areas.
  16. EastonSN+
    Updated. Better: GFS RGEM HRDPS Worse: NAM RRFS ICON Held: GFSAI
  17. EastonSN+
    Better: GFS RGEM Worse: NAM ICON Held: GFSAI
  18. EastonSN+
    The continued big improvement was how the western side gets compressed and shoved east before the primary can gain too much latitude.
  19. EastonSN+
    GFS ticked better!! Better: GFS RGEM Worse: NAM ICON.
  20. EastonSN+
    18z so far. Better: RGEM Worse: NAM ICON
  21. EastonSN+
    RGEM got better.
  22. EastonSN+
    The RGEM got better.
  23. EastonSN+
    No idea just surprised nobody posted.
  24. EastonSN+
    Really surprised nobody posted the EPS
  25. EastonSN+
    Great 12z suite. The only 3 models to get worse are the following. All others improved. GFS AIGFS ICON
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