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EastonSN+

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Everything posted by EastonSN+

  1. EastonSN+
    Yeah CPK had a couple opportunities. It's tough in an RNA cycle but not impossible. The warm gulf stream can give a storm a good moisture boost as well.
  2. EastonSN+
    I am sure we will get one this decade as well. 2022 was close.
  3. EastonSN+
    Our average snowfall the second half of the 80s was 11.125 inches (CPK). So even if it stuck around more it was pretty bad. Basically, you could have the same pattern 150 years ago, it would still yield little snow. I remembered many storms where it was in the teens that morning and we warmed up and rained then had flash freezes. RNA patterns yield cutters unfortunately. It may take a number of years to reset to a PNA pattern again. I am just happy I lived through 2000 through 2018.
  4. EastonSN+
    They will be, and the southern half of this forum came very close this storm, it was unfortunate that there was an RNA and the strong El nino torched December and kept the Arctic air on the other side of the globe. That is changing now and the cold is on our side. My only fear would be the 1980s cold and dry warm and wet scenario given that we are in an RNA cycle.
  5. EastonSN+
    Technically December 22 and March 2023. The RNA was in a bad position and down to Baja. No NAO can over power that deep of a trough. We got accumulating snow yesterday due to the fact that the RNA was not nearly as deep and a little east of last year's.
  6. EastonSN+
    I used to use - or + but I learned RNA from Typhoon Tip in the NE forum.
  7. EastonSN+
    So BDR has 3 and finally ended their streak. Did HPN also receive an accumulation?
  8. EastonSN+
    Yup that is a good look. Obviously nothing is guaranteed however we would definitely take our chances with that.
  9. EastonSN+
    No clue unfortunately
  10. EastonSN+
    Another point that Dark Star references to is the Arctic pool of colder air. It LOOKS per Bluewave's post that some pretty negative anomolies are on the west coast. Now, unfortunately for this storm and this run through phases 1 and 2, the cold pool did not arrive on our side in advance. However, now that it is as long as it stays on our side our next trip through 1 and 2 may be quite nice.
  11. EastonSN+
    Actually can stall in phases 1 and 2 as well given the IO temps.
  12. EastonSN+
  13. EastonSN+
    Phase 1 as well. Western IO temps are rising fast and really high now.
  14. EastonSN+
    I was actually happy getting to 2.5 inches. To be honest I thought I was going to bust with only a half inch.
  15. EastonSN+
    I was actually happy getting to 2.5 inches. To be honest I thought I was going to bust with only a half inch.
  16. EastonSN+
    Yeah it definitely is. I do hold hope for another high amplitude in phase 1 due to the high western IO temps. February can get interesting IMO.
  17. EastonSN+
    Correct. The theme of the 80s was cold and dry warm and wet. I know a lot post that the 80s were FRIGID, however I do not remember that growing up. Rather I remember almost never getting a darn snow day. My dad saying it never snows anymore. I believe 80 through 84 may have had below average temps on average, while 85 through 89 were above (I do not have evidence of this, just going off snowfall distribution which was ok 80 through 84, however the second half CPK averaged less that 16 inches!!).
  18. EastonSN+
    I HATE wind events. I bet this happens at night too which is the worst.
  19. EastonSN+
    1980s (perhaps 1970s) through 1999 the trough was mainly in the west coast. However 2000 through 2018 the trough was mainly in the east, which is actually what help lead the the low reservoir levels in the SW. The past few years, especially last year, the reservoirs out there have increased dramatically. Since 2018 we have moved back to an RNA cycle it seems. The above are averages, obviously you had the opposite occuring less frequently during these periods). Below are the percentages of troughing in the Pacific, so not exactly PNA vs RNA.
  20. EastonSN+
    Yup I already got that, just wanted to know how far back this data went back (perhaps 1950).
  21. EastonSN+
    Thanks Bluewave! It's pretty incredible that we never experienced the cutter storm track in a strong el nino before. How far back was this data taken? Really surprised 82/83 did not have a mean trough out west.
  22. EastonSN+
    Snow stopping here in Easton CT. 2.5 OTG
  23. EastonSN+
    Snow stopping here in Easton CT. 2.5 OTG.
  24. EastonSN+
    Gotcha. It's too bad CPK only received .02, was hoping they would break the streak.
  25. EastonSN+
    That's crazy Don! Surprised you have not seen any accumulation!
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