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EastonSN+

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Everything posted by EastonSN+

  1. EastonSN+
    Yup. Similar to the next storm per the NAMs depiction. DC would get 2 plus while we get mixed. Both cases DC does better.
  2. EastonSN+
    That is correct, although parts of Staten Island did receive 8 inches so part of NYC did good. Pennsylvania did good too. More of a better west and south scenario due to the block. What a year that was for Philly. On a side note, Philly has at least two 30 plus snow events while CPK has 0. Further south so more moisture?
  3. EastonSN+
    Or December 1989 happens, we get the historically cold December then we get a bit of snow turning to rain back to unbelievable cold lol.
  4. EastonSN+
    All the cold dumped to our west. That was the 4th coldest playoff game in NFL history! Remember we are only 1/3 of the country, you could have a trough west coast or plains. So very rough 1/3 chance? Also percentage wise Western troughs happen more often through history. Maybe due to the Gulf of Mexico/Atlantic Ocean proximity?
  5. EastonSN+
    There are two rounds of precip on the NAM suite. Once hits southern areas (hurrah for DC, also see that light accumulation strip off the Delmarva and south Jersey coast), then the coastal takes over than the northern half of the forum scores. Better south or north (sometimes that's the way it goes). This is only if the NAM is spot on and DC gets more than Hartford and Boston.
  6. EastonSN+
    That brutal.
  7. EastonSN+
    I hate frigid cold air, let them have it lol. It's going to take a few years to break this overall pattern.
  8. EastonSN+
    70s 80s and 90s. I remember growing up and almost every single channel 2/4/7 weather forecast would start with "snow will be north/well north and west of the city". 2000 through 2018 mirrored 55 through 69 as epic periods which have undoubtedly skewed our seasonal snowfall averages.
  9. EastonSN+
    Thanks Don, it's shocking how important the PNA is for our area, even with substantial blocking in place. We had the PNA dominated pattern from 2000 through 2018 which must have added in the plethora of 6+events.
  10. EastonSN+
    Also heat island effect is growing YOY.
  11. EastonSN+
    All time record winter cold daily high temps are going to be challenged in the center of the country with this outbreak (per TWC most records there were from the 70s). Definitely will be modified as it's pulled east by the cutter, however should at least put as below average for a while.
  12. EastonSN+
    Watched TWC this morning. Some serious cold coming to the US! Apparently records may fall in the center of the country (record high temps from the late 70s).
  13. EastonSN+
    We brought back the coastal hugger from the dead. It's the clipper's turn.
  14. EastonSN+
    Think this was a great post by WxUSAF (we had a great 2017/2018 as the only caveat).
  15. EastonSN+
    Not saying the EURO will be correct, however it's kind of nice seeing coastal "huggers" again. I thought they were extinct lol. Now that the huggers are back from extinction let's bring back the Alberta clippers. Great for the local ski resorts.
  16. EastonSN+
    Are those accurate? Keep hearing that these models tend to overdo wind.
  17. EastonSN+
    It honestly looks like a replica of the last story, albeit with a colder air mass ahead and behind the system so more snowfall potential.
  18. EastonSN+
    December failed as we had a trough to Baja Mexico.
  19. EastonSN+
    Isn't phase 7 decent in El ninos? I may be mistaken.
  20. EastonSN+
    I think our biggest risk with that wave is it being sheared.
  21. EastonSN+
    Yeah I was thinking/leary about this look this morning. Perhaps a better shot at front end snows even if the track is inland?
  22. EastonSN+
    Thanks Walt! It seems like it's been forever since central/NE PA have had multiple good snow periods. Lol it seemed that the "coastal hugger" was extinct for a few years. Even if this ends up being a "hugger" scenario, the ski resorts of the Poconos, Catskills, Litchfield hills and Berkshires can benefit.
  23. EastonSN+
    Thanks for posting here this is great!
  24. EastonSN+
    Correct. When there is an RNA there is always risk of both cutter and sheared. The times where the Neg. NAO worked with an RNA are usually when the the PNA is in a transitory state, not continuous.
  25. EastonSN+
    Thanks Chuck its great to have u posting in this forum.
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