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EastonSN+

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Everything posted by EastonSN+

  1. Yeah the snow pack would last a long time with that density.
  2. GFS picking up on the warm tonge. Would be a foot for CPK with what has already fallen.
  3. That would be huge. More importantly does it move more northeast or NNE that was modeled. Another factor.
  4. This is actually really fun watching the race between the warm tongue and heavy snowfall rates. My bet is CPK starts to mix with sleet within 3 hours BUT gets another 4.5 inches before.
  5. It will come up from that spot by Philadelphia moving Northeast. Focus on that spot rather than south Jersey.
  6. Love this radar thanks for posting.
  7. To monitor: Speed of warm tongue. Snowfall rates. How much snow mixes with the sleet. You can accumulate at a 50/50 rate, albeit will be slow. Again March 2017 had 7.5 inches before Thundersleet. A couple hours later 9.5 inches!! So accumulation may not just stop when the mix starts.
  8. See this is another factor. I admit I am overly focused on the warm tongue, however if the rates overperform it will compensate.
  9. Interesting did not know phase 1 was warm. We get there by early Feb.
  10. Interesting from DC Baltimore area. .1 to .2 inch an hour sleet accumulation.
  11. Great news that Jim Cantore is reporting from Central Park. He can validate the snowfall measurement.
  12. The biggest push of sleet will be when the coastal starts to develop. Need to watch for when that starts to develop.
  13. We are focusing on north to south but west to east is very important. If u look at the models the warm tongue moves northeast not due north. Same down there.
  14. If that starts 7am then yeah. Take an inch off DC. They prolly had half an inch before the sleet.
  15. TWC is saying 3 to 5 more on top of what has already fallen (Jim Cantore said about 3 to 4 in central park so far.
  16. The last official report i saw was 3.4 at 7 am.
  17. Problem i have is its showing DC getting getting 4.3 and its already all sleet.
  18. The HRRR within 10 hours is good too, although has been too slow with the changeover but next best after NAM so far down there.
  19. FWIW channel 8 news said the sleet will make it up to Willamantic now, but most of the snow would have already fallen.
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