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EastonSN+

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Everything posted by EastonSN+

  1. They posted the GEFS too. 7 out of 30 members have 6 plus. 2 members foot plus. 15 members 1 to 3 or nothing.
  2. Actually they posted the snow map in the MA forum for the AI. Looks like a 3 to 6 event here. Philly DC 6 to 12.
  3. Also a rather quick rebound. @40/70 Benchmark may be able to opine on the effects.
  4. End of the EPS run which fits nicely into the phase 6 look.
  5. MJO is taking too long to get to phase 7. If it takes 5 more days to reach 7, with a 5 day lag (guessing here) we are talking the 13th before we flip colder. Really late in the game for the MA.
  6. 6z GFS was solid. ICON looked like it was going to improve over 0Z. Of the operational runs, only the EURO showed nothing. Either we all hail EURO in the end or all other models end up closer to correct. Still a lot of time of course.
  7. I would rather get the cold phases out of the way in Feb and March so we can get warmth in April for a change. Spring has been awful here.
  8. It did get to phase 8 twice, although for a couple days each. That being said, both phase7 periods ended up snowy for the NE. What I am curious about is the large snowstorm the GFS, EURO AI and now the ICON are showing. The only favorable telecommunications are the RNA coupled with the negative AO, which is only SLIGHTLY negative. I would think this would lead to an inside track. Could the FAST flow be helpful here in pushthe storm east before it can gain too much latitude?
  9. Thanks Don. Its far out there however the members are starting to drop at the end. This would align with the MJO heading to phase 7 and the dip in the zonal winds posted above. This COULD make for a wild 2nd week of March.
  10. Pretty solid dip forming EOM. Not sure what the lag time is but could align with the 2nd week of March?
  11. Towards the end of the EPS run a LITTLE blocking looks like its forming by Greenland. This will likely be the key for as Don mentioned, an RNA is beneficial after mid Feb. with blocking.
  12. The 2nd week of March SHOULD be a little interesting, although today's MJO forecast looks like its going into the COD.
  13. AO looks to be slightly negative during this window.
  14. Really hope GFS, ukmet and EURO AI are correct. EURO and CMC are a CNE/NNE special. Would be great for at least 90% of this forum to make out well.
  15. Their really getting to you lol. Can you take it?
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