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Everything posted by EastonSN+
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Why not just post temperature departures against a 10-year average then? Just don't see the benefit of continually pointing out that a departure now is different than a departure then, as it's in the past.
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I just don't think it holds any value to caveat that it was colder in the past. For instance if a reader looked and saw that we are below average temperature wise I don't think they would say well I wonder if we would still be below average 200 years ago (exaggeration). The 30-year averages take care of themselves as they adjust as the decades roll on so there's really no need to compare to the past which is just that the past. It's kind of like saying well the Yankees won the world series this year with a great hitting team however this Yankee lineup is nowhere near the 1927 lineup. What's the point in stating it?
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Just out of curiosity why do we always feel the need to say it was colder in the past over and over again? This winter felt cold and had great snow retention regardless of what it was in 1980, 1920, or when the woolly mammoths walk the earth. I still believe the warmer ocean temps will lead to some pretty epic Winters to come snowfall wise and will help offset they cold dryness of the 1970s through 1980s.
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We may have a shot when the mjo gets to phase 2 however not counting on it LOL.
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Yeah I don't know however whether it was or wasn't it was the exact same result of cutter suppression cutter suppression cutter suppression on and on LOL. What's incredible is in that frigid look in 1989 the one big storm we had ended up changing to rain LOL.
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Yeah it was colder because the trough was positioned directly over us and deeper and not as wide. This trough was broader. Check out the pack the ridge encompassed part of the West Coast where this year it was further west allowing more of the cold air to spill into the middle of the country.
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Over under on NYC March snowfall? 1.5 inches?
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When the jet calms down I have a feeling we're going to get absolutely destroyed when one of these strong blocking episodes comes through. Seeing what's happening to the South shows that we are absolutely cold enough for a blockbuster winter, we just need that benchmark track back like you mentioned and when it happens boom the higher moisture in the atmosphere and obviously from the higher water temps we can see some historic storms. I think the warmer Gulf Waters may have led to the record snowfalls in New Orleans and Destin Florida..
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4th snowiest February on record in Norfolk. Absolutely insane winter for the South, southeast and Delmarva. Decent event for Raleigh.
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So far the 30 yr avg 1970 through 1999 is 21.907 (14 of those years below 19 inches) compared to 18/19 through this year of 15.38. could be more extreme waiting to similar yearly average but we shall see.
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Also what happened between 69 and 70 which was the same exact light switch from epic periods to horrid snowfall periods.
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They're not hostile to snow storms however they are not phase 8 which is where our KU events are usually born from.
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2015 was more that the national weather service did not change their forecast until the storm was underway. Only the nam and the euro had the storm with us in the bullseye up until the last day. All other models had the bullseye in Eastern New England. In that event half the people were convinced by the Euro and Nam while the others were for all the rest of the models. The fact that the Euro and the nam were on their own was a huge red flag.
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I have been wondering how the rising Indian ocean temperatures will offset other rising ocean temperatures as the Indian Ocean houses phases one and two which are cold phases for our area. Obviously if the waters off Japan continue unabated and are attributing to the faster jet our storm track will be in Jeopardy, however, purely from a temperature average perspective the rising Indian Ocean temps should offset the warmer phases impacted by the Indonesian water temperatures.
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I have been tracking Central Parks snowfall total starting with the 2018-2019 season and comparing it to the 30-year Central Park snowfall drought average from 1970 through 1999 which was a little over 21 inches. Central Park is currently a little over 15 inches for this period, however, the 1970s had very low snowfall for Central Park outside of 2 years towards the end of the decade. This snowfall drought for Central Park can last a lot longer, however I agree by the early 2030s if we're seeing the same thing over and over again then we have to consider. In that 30-year time span Central Park had only five above average snowfall seasons, and 14 of them were below 19 inches. Central Park already had one above average snowfall season in this period so on track in that regard. If we get another 1978 type snowfall distribution then the average will be comparable.
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Or the screaming warm Indian Ocean which has phases 1 and 2 of the mjo which are cold. Doesn't seem to be talked about or acknowledged for some reason.
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Correct it's dry but unfortunately cold when we want to warm up right.
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Winter 2024-2025 All Tri-State Snowfall Totals Maps
EastonSN+ replied to The 4 Seasons's topic in New York City Metro
Thanks as always @The 4 Seasons If there was one enhancement to your site that I would love to see are radar loops for the past storms. Perhaps a bit too ambitious however great to relive.
