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EastonSN+

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Everything posted by EastonSN+

  1. EastonSN+
    Still means they are going for 12 in CPK, but yeah for surrounding areas.
  2. EastonSN+
    It may have been 93. I was pushing karts at a supermarket called stew Leonards and was absolutely frozen in the morning.
  3. EastonSN+
    I have noticed that they tend to air on the side of caution and lean towards the worst case. Better to prepare people for the worst and bust high than the other way around.
  4. EastonSN+
    Updated Upton map.
  5. EastonSN+
    There were a few storms over the 80s as well where we had an arctic airmass in place and quickly changed to sleet. Have not seen something like this since the early 90s.
  6. EastonSN+
    New York City 5.9 Boston 18 Philadelphia 5.1 Washington DC 4.8 Hartford 14 Albany 13
  7. EastonSN+
    Thanks Don. I am starting to lean towards the lower end given the guidance. You may have the date, however, it was either january 1993 or 1994 (the cold and icy winter) which had a similar setup to this. Believe the city was 5 degrees in the morning and within 5 or 6 hours flipped to sleet (i do not recall the exact amount that fell). Boston was all snow and received over a foot. This setup and cold air in place seems like a carbon copy. Perhaps can be used as a guide on thos event.
  8. EastonSN+
    Horrible trends for us today. One more bump and its sleets to Boston (a possibility at this point). Bad mood so... . Tomorrow disappointment 4 to 8 and a lot of sleet. Cold and dry for 7 days. Warm up and rain from a coastal hugger with a stale airmass. SSWE fails and everyone blames GW and says in 1900 we would have had 150 inches in the same setup.
  9. EastonSN+
    February 3rd has some signal. Could be a coastal hugger too.
  10. EastonSN+
    Thanks. I hope nothing worse than cold and dry
  11. EastonSN+
    You were right on this one. Starting to think closer to 6 before the flip but will range 6 to 10 in case the initial thump is impressive. Is that what your thoughts are?
  12. EastonSN+
    Looked st the models this morning Going with 6 to 10 for CPK. Good news is the sleet will make the pack even stronger/last longer.
  13. EastonSN+
    Talk about no change run to run lol.
  14. EastonSN+
    So the 12k flipped to sleet quicker but the sleet line did not get as far north which is a step in the right direction. We need 1 more tick like that.
  15. EastonSN+
    I believe central park had 7.5 inches before the thundersleet. Up here in CT had 9.5 before the thunder sleet
  16. EastonSN+
    The NAM was a step in the right direction.
  17. EastonSN+
  18. EastonSN+
    The sleet does not get as far north as 18z. Sleet arrived a bit faster but did not go as far north.
  19. EastonSN+
    It actually increased in Philly too (the age old how much for Philly question).
  20. EastonSN+
    Yeah they have the snowfall map in the MA forum and it looks like their snowfall increased this run.
  21. EastonSN+
    Would happen to have 12z? Hate 10 to 1 miss represents southern areas.
  22. EastonSN+
    Updated. Better: GFS RGEM HRDPS Worse: NAM RRFS ICON Held: GFSAI
  23. EastonSN+
    Better: GFS RGEM Worse: NAM ICON Held: GFSAI
  24. EastonSN+
    The continued big improvement was how the western side gets compressed and shoved east before the primary can gain too much latitude.
  25. EastonSN+
    GFS ticked better!! Better: GFS RGEM Worse: NAM ICON.
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