Jump to content

EastonSN+

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    7,960

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by EastonSN+

  1. EastonSN+
    This is the gefs which is slower to get to phase 8 hence the southeast ridge driven by the RNA. To me this is a good luck, as suppression would be taken off the table for the most part and the blocking would limit the southeast ridge. Also the fact that we have plenty of cold on our side of the globe is an advantage in changeover events. I for one like to track snowfall totals, therefore if we get a two to four event washed away by rain it still counts as two to four for the yearly snowfall.
  2. EastonSN+
    Putting aside late February where Don mentioned an RNA has less of a negative impact, tonight in the next couple weeks may show that an RNA does not automatically mean a torch and no snowfall. A shallow RNA can be extremely beneficial. Again we do not want a trough to Baja which can overpower the other teleconnections. Usual caveats apply with regards to boundary and latitude.
  3. EastonSN+
    If I'm not mistaken your referencing the 5-day window for an opportunity for a benchmark track/heavy snowfall correct? With regards to temperatures and light events like tonight, our window should extend another 10 days given that we still need to traverse through phases one and two, which I believe each phase has a muted Southeast ridge due to ridging out west.
  4. EastonSN+
    Looks like a nice coating to 3 inches for the northern half of the sub forum. Favored are the Northern areas of Westchester and coastal Connecticut.
  5. EastonSN+
    The wave looks a little stronger today as it heads toward phase eight. The eps at the bottom is showing signs of blocking in the trough migrating East.
  6. EastonSN+
    I don't think I've ever remembered a winter where it took so many events to reach 10 inches of snow.
  7. EastonSN+
    Not much
  8. EastonSN+
    One to three down to the CT Coast.
  9. EastonSN+
    More specific details on the other thread, however, a light snow event will happen tomorrow night.
  10. EastonSN+
    3K gets up to an inch to the North shore of Long Island, half an inch for Central Park and one to three for coastal Connecticut.
  11. EastonSN+
  12. EastonSN+
    NAM 12k that's up to a half an inch to Central Park. 1 to 3 coastal Connecticut.
  13. EastonSN+
  14. EastonSN+
    Agreed that the next two weeks are going to be a little tough for the general area. We should have a much better opportunity second half of February into March.
  15. EastonSN+
    HRRR has 1 to 3 CT coast. About an inch on the North fork of Long Island. A coating for the North shore of Western Long Island. About a half inch Westchester county.
  16. EastonSN+
    I think phases eight one and two as well as the length of the blocking time frame will easily lead into the second week of March.
  17. EastonSN+
    FWIW TWC is predicting one to three inches for the CP of Connecticut.
  18. EastonSN+
    You do not believe the mjo heading into phase 8 1 and 2 as well as the AO product to go negative on the ensembles is going to come to fruition? Or are you saying that early spring will follow that period?
  19. EastonSN+
    This times 1,000. I remember trying to get an all snow event was like pulling teeth.
  20. EastonSN+
    Starting to see the AO crash.
  21. EastonSN+
    Still on track timing wise. Weaker than earlier phases but still there and high enough of an amplitude to cause downstream effects, although muted.
  22. EastonSN+
    The setup of 94 was completely different than this year.
  23. EastonSN+
    14/15 was great too and colder. I had 20.5 IMBY
  24. EastonSN+
    That ended up being the most snowfall in my lifetime from March 1st onwards with 27 inches (almost a full season average). However, even 25% of the impact is a massive win. Will be interesting as it would align with phases 8,1 and 2.
  25. EastonSN+
    Weakening but still there and on target for late February.
×
×
  • Create New...