EastonSN+

If I were a betting man, I would wager we see a 10 plus in the next few years. Time an Arctic plunge with the warmer water temps and boom.

And 93 was barely. 2017 was within 2.5 inches I believe.

Yeah I remember that frontal passage storm and channel 11 news saying it was a 1, 2 punch the first storm gave 2 in and the second storm we're supposed to give 4 and then we ended up with 8. Regarding your second point of only two 8 inch storms, this is the reason the last 6 years have not shaken me, as I lived through the 80s and 90s. To me this feels like a repeat/nostalgia with regards to snowfall LOL.

Where were you able to harvest this information? I have just been using the national weather service information.

I was looking for some statistics but can't find it. I would have to imagine if it had something to do with ocean temperatures then this would always be the case as the water temperatures are always warmer than land.

This is directly from the national weather service. If you have a different list perhaps you can email them? Would be better if they are accurate.

I really hope not. I would not take that trade.

It's a good question that I do not know the answer to.

Still looking like we could be in the colder phases of the mjo by mid-February. Of course as we've seen below average temperatures does not guarantee snowfall.

5 degrees in Easton CT. One thing for sure is this is great snowmaking weather for the ski resorts.

Here are the total of foot plus storms for Central Park....odd does not always match a KU for Central Park like 87.

For reference here are the 70s 80s and 90s for this audience and the snow totals for Central Park on the right.

Would still be a blizzard as a blizzard warning has to do with wind and a period of 3 hours of heavy snow I believe.

First blizzard warning ever in Louisiana.

Looks like we would be heading into the colder phases of the mjo in mid-February so likely another period from mid February onward for cold air conditions.

Wasn't 96-97 and 11 12 El ninos? I believe each had the Gulf of Alaska trough which flooded Canada.

In my opinion we will have to wait until the second half of February when the mjo is back in the colder phases (not ruling out something before then).

I'm starting 1970/71 as 69 was the last KU year I believe. The first 6 years of the 70s had two mid-range Winters. So far we've had one from 18/19 to now. A drop but not much yet. This year will likely be another sub mid range year, however we have more than 2 months left to go to get another 15.

Actually made a mistake. We are a little over 15-inch average for both the last 6 years and the first 6 years of the 1970s. So our snowfall is 100% aligned with a 1970s so far.

Yeah that is an interesting time period to compare. We are a good snowstorm away from being lockstep with a 1970s. Agree on temps however our latitude should have a different effect on us as compared to say Washington (or New Orleans LOL).

Time will tell. Positives I have seen since 2018 are: The mjo was not stuck in the warm phases all winter like we were fearing. This leads to the mjo, however we have not been dominated by an RNA to Baja like the last couple years. We have had back-to-back blow average temperature months. Still getting snow down to New Orleans in Myrtle Beach. Delmarva having a second dominant inter-season in the last 6. I think the issue I am having with the time periods is 2000 through 2018 was a mirror to 1955 through 1969 where both periods were completely dominated by KU events. So I get what you're saying when you start with 93 94 till today however the reason I am comparing 70 through 99 is it sits between those two KU dominated. My theory is we have exited that KU dominated period like 1970 and therefore 1970 through 1999 could be a match for 2019 through today. If that's the case per my analysis we are in line with that period. I think an interesting comparison would be 1955 through 1969 compared to 2000 through 2018 and how the warming temperatures affected the KU events.

16 of those 30 years Central Park failed to reach 20 inches (> 50% of the winters during that 30 year stretch). Excluding this season, Central Park reached 20 inches 2 out of the 6 seasons (30%). 1 of those winters did not have a KU, so 50% of the 20+ winters did not have a KU. I am not pointing out the above to dispute, only to reiterate that 6 years is an extremely small sample size. Perhaps we are mirroring 1970 through 1999, however now we are reaching 20 inches 30% of the time instead of 46% of the time (50% of those needing a KU). However again 6 years is an extremely small sample size).

Yep I believe it was only 6 KUs in 30 years from 1970 to 1999. We've had one KU in the last six Winters so really on Target. We just have to wait for the fast flow to slow down/jet retract. Maybe next year maybe later this year.

3.25 in Easton CT 6.5 on the year.

3.25 in Easton CT. 6.5 on the year.