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EastonSN+

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Everything posted by EastonSN+

  1. EastonSN+
    I am definitely looking forward to snow in the air and hopefully we can get a coating to an inch which will look nice.
  2. EastonSN+
    One constant this winter so far has definitely been the negative EPO.
  3. EastonSN+
    I don't trust the weeklies whatsoever at that range, it's a coin toss whether we reload into the same type of pattern we have now or we default into a typical Nina pattern.
  4. EastonSN+
    Looking forward to snow falling even if minor. Hopefully as the blocking eases we do get a large snowfall to cap off this period.
  5. EastonSN+
    Here is 6z
  6. EastonSN+
    Still hopeful for a coating to an inch, which is doable with the northern stream energy.
  7. EastonSN+
    Looks like we are heading to phase 3 high amplitude. If I am not mistaken, while not conducive to snowfall in February this phase can work well in March, assuming it's fairly static.
  8. EastonSN+
    Wanted to share with this audience as the four seasons poster is amazing and this website is amazing. It's new england-based but if you click on the link you will see how the tri-state area increase snowfall over the 2 30 or periods (amazing how the snowfall averaged increased so much). Thanks as always 4 seasons. https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/average-seasonal-snowfall
  9. EastonSN+
    I wonder when the last time DC, Raleigh and Dallas had more snow than Central Park in mid January. Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Raleigh NC 628 AM EST Wed Jan 8 2025 NCZ007>010-021>026-038>041-091130- Person-Granville-Vance-Warren-Forsyth-Guilford-Alamance-Orange- Durham-Franklin-Davidson-Randolph-Chatham-Wake- 628 AM EST Wed Jan 8 2025 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Wind chill values late tonight into Thursday morning are forecast to be 5 to 10 degrees above zero. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Snow is expected to develop across the forecast area Friday afternoon and evening, then become a wintry mix of precipitation overnight Friday into early Saturday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. $$
  10. EastonSN+
    Yeah BlueWave stated that storm track was more important for January and February.
  11. EastonSN+
    Would be hilarious if we had a 32 inch Nemo bomb in February bringing our snowfall total to above average LOL.
  12. EastonSN+
    Agreed, also the nao is not too positive in that depiction. Something that amplifies too much would cut in that look however we could score a front end dump also.
  13. EastonSN+
    We lose the blocking however Eastern Canada will become very cold and we would have a great cold source to tap into.
  14. EastonSN+
    I agree that the ensembles are starting to move away from a negative PNA which is odd given the proged mjo forcing per below. Although, I am not sure if that is phase two or three in the last frame.
  15. EastonSN+
    I agree that this coming event had a small window with a bit of Southeast ridging, however it still needed a phase and snow goose was the first to say days ago that this favored the southeast. The trough access has definitely been over us this month. Yes I want 80° weather now.
  16. EastonSN+
    Why would forky say we had a risk of cold and dry if it was a good look? It was a cold look for sure, however, as one met stated we were on the backside of a trough and that's why we were dry. Trough access is very important. In 2018 we had a record warm February with 80° temps and 5 1/2 in of snow.
  17. EastonSN+
    Was it a good look though? The trough access was over us during this time period, and forky warned that the period could easily be cold and dry. I think this was one of the thought extinct cold and dry weather patterns of the '70s and '80s that has somehow come back. I remember during the snowy period we thought coastal huggers until March 2017, and clippers were extinct and suddenly they're back. Well now that 1970s 1980s cold and dry pattern is back.
  18. EastonSN+
    It needed a perfect phase. Never good sign when the trough axis is over your head.
  19. EastonSN+
    Yep I'm at 2 inches now.
  20. EastonSN+
    I am happy for the Mid-Atlantic they have a real shot of having an above average snowfall winter.
  21. EastonSN+
    I think I heard before that if there is a high pressure to the north feeding in colder air the piece of shield will be expansive like 1996 however if there is a low to the north then the precip shield will not be as expansive. Perhaps I meant on this board can confirm or deny.
  22. EastonSN+
    GFS is a Little closer. I wonder why the precip shield is so tight.
  23. EastonSN+
    Here was 0z
  24. EastonSN+
    Geps has more left leaners now.
  25. EastonSN+
    It looks as though the geps also improved slightly.
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