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EastonSN+

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Everything posted by EastonSN+

  1. EastonSN+
    Borrowed from MA forum
  2. EastonSN+
    Are there a lot of suppressed solutions on the GEFS?
  3. EastonSN+
    As of now the CMC has the furthest north solution. The 6z EURO was further south than 0z so hopefully a hold. Still a lot of time left.
  4. EastonSN+
    Primary hangs on longer with this CMC run.
  5. EastonSN+
    I am a bit worried about the following: Fast flow / pac jet on steroids. Warm pool in the western pacific. SE ridge linking with the NAO. Continuous 456 mjo phases. Just joking this one looks really good all!!
  6. EastonSN+
    The 6z euro was further south so the north trend on this model stopped for now.
  7. EastonSN+
  8. EastonSN+
  9. EastonSN+
    Primary does not go as far north on the 6z EURO. Less mixing. Interesting look on the individual eps panels. Definitely 2 camps.
  10. EastonSN+
    What a huge shift north on the AIGFS
  11. EastonSN+
    Big takeaway is all the models at the current time give some snow to the region.
  12. EastonSN+
    Yeah thats a big hit on the EURO.
  13. EastonSN+
    So the ec-aifs WAS further north, however, the storm escaped out faster so less QPF.
  14. EastonSN+
    Actually further north with the overruning but less overall QPF on the northern tier of the forum.
  15. EastonSN+
    EC-AIFS is north and a good hit.
  16. EastonSN+
    Updated.
  17. EastonSN+
    Agree. What does give me pause is the AIGFS.
  18. EastonSN+
    At least with these temps we will not have to worry about rates overcoming borderline temps.
  19. EastonSN+
    So far for 12z HITS: ICON CMC MISS: GFS AIGFS
  20. EastonSN+
    Like the higher heights on the latest run.
  21. EastonSN+
    They are rare but do happen. PDII in 2003 was an overruning event to a coastal. FWIW TWC stated this morning that up to Boston could get heavy snow.
  22. EastonSN+
    Fwiw TWC stated that Boston COULD get a heavy snow out of this.
  23. EastonSN+
  24. EastonSN+
    Looks like DC is about to get a big one to help with these stats.
  25. EastonSN+
    Nice bump north on the GEFS w/r/t precip.
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