EastonSN+

Blocking Did strengthen even though the trough is a little deeper out in the West. After this time frame is when the trough migrates East. That ridge may be due to an amped up Storm cutting which has been on the models.

I will be honest, I'm not sure I understand why the look going past President's Day is not a better than average look for snowfall. The blocking remains, therefore pure cutters should be limited. Is the problem that the block is too far north? If anything it seems we are following the same pattern as the last passage through eight one and two, where we had a large snow storm at the start of The blocking period which favored the Mid-Atlantic, which the GFS is currently showing, followed by a wave providing a light to moderate snowfall with a GFS is showing, followed by a trough in the east which the ensembles are showing. Therefore I would believe past President's Day, obviously not forever but for a week or two, should be at the very least colder than average with the main risk being suppression just like the last passage through eight one and two.

What

I see what you're saying as the operationals are ensemble member in and of themselves. That being said isn't the normal progression of blocking from the nao region Westward to the AO region and finally to the EPO region? It seems that the Middle Atlantic form is pretty certain that the EPO will only be positive for a short time before returning negative which would align with the migration of The blocking.

It seems as though there are two distinct periods for possible snow events, or time frames that are conducive to snow. The first is now through the large storm next week. Then we have a brief Southeast ridge, followed by a much colder time frame reference below. Hopefully we can cash on both

Wow.

I believe this may be what forky was referring to when he was not a fan of the compressed flow.

FWIW the CMC is colder and mostly sleet now as opposed to rain. Almost never gets to rain fully, mostly sleet to dry slot.

GFS snow sleet to dry slot.

Yeah, this looks to be the positive/neutral EPO period in the depiction below.

Yeah, at least for now it looks to be strong but not to the level of the last blocking episode.

Thanks for this, please keep posting this forum.

The wave looks a little healthier now heading to phase 8. Looking at the pic below seems to be inline with the same track as the last wave.

Got to start somewhere.

All this is BEFORE the block really gets going.

Welcome to the CT shoreline team.

2.5 Easton CT

Still on track for late February into March taking in lag.

Central Park with 0.5 inches yesterday. How much do they have now for the year? I wonder what the record number of accumulating snowfall events before reaching 10 inches for Central Park is.

2.5 Easton CT.

Made it to 2.5 Easton CT.

2.5 Easton CT. Nice event.