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CCHurricane

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Everything posted by CCHurricane

  1. 18z AI-EURO ticking a hair colder and dials back the precip just a bit in northern New England. Confirms widespread +1 foot with QPF ranging from 1.1-1.4 across all of MA, CT, and RI. South Shore looks to be the jackpot.
  2. Recent system this past Sunday/Monday a great example. Had Cape Cod modeled as rain for the majority of precip with no significant accumulations. Ended up with a widespread 4-6".
  3. GFS, AIGFS, ICON, UKIE, all showing solid hits, especially when factoring +10:1 rates. We take.
  4. Secondary low is back on the menu re: ICON on Monday night thru Tuesday morning.
  5. Storm thread is not allowed to be opened until inside of D3
  6. did it? Looks to be cut back quite a bit from 6z... A distinctly separate secondary low days later is what leads to some additional upside. 06Z 12z
  7. Likely increase these by 50%-100% for all areas in New England. Ratios should be 15-20:1 with temps ~20 or lower.
  8. Ratios should be killer, could be ~15/20:1 for most. Won't take that much moisture to produce +6". ICON bump north below (00z vs. 12z)
  9. 4.0” OTG in Barnstable, storm event likely closer to 4.5”-5.0”. Can see a distinct layer of melt at bottom of snow.
  10. Another rare winter storm with minimal wind. Snow falling almost vertical so very easy to measure. Right around 3.75”, should end up +4” of heavy wet paste. Performing well on Cape Cod despite accumulation not beginning until after 4PM.
  11. These became mostly automated at some point in the recent past, correct? Feel like they’ve been far too volatile / unreliable vs. the previous iteration.
  12. Returns under this band are pretty lackluster unfortunately.
  13. Widespread 3-6 should get the job done for all of SE New England.
  14. I believe it was the QB draw to the left side, the play before the deep pass interference inside the 10-yard line. Payton clarified in his press conference.
  15. HRRR has much more consolidated LP look, which helps all.
  16. Did see a modest jog west on 12z AIGFS, bump up from 6z.
  17. Skynet is capitulating. Decent shift SE on precip shield and precip totals for all outside of extreme SE New England.
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