CCHurricane

Other countries are not he United States, which is a good thing for us. And again, until vaccination rates increase across the country there WILL be a correlation between cases and deaths, and therefore policy will continue to be based off of that assumption. If every state was like Massachusetts in terms of vaccination adoption, and mask mandates remained mandatory, you and I would be in 100% agreement.

I nearly brought up that exact same lesson! Good stuff.

If current vaccination rates were >75% across the nation, I firmly believe that would in fact be the messaging you would hear. Vaccination does not eliminate an individuals ability to contract or transmit COVID. For the vaccinated individual there is little risk, but if 30%-60% of the underlying adult community is not vaccinated, the safety guidelines are not being made to protect vaccinated individuals. While I understand the desire for guidance to adopt a more "live your life and deal with the consequences" sort of messaging, that decision would become pretty controversial given unknown outcomes. When things go bad, governments are questioned for not doing enough, and when situations don't meet sometimes alarmist expectations, they are lambasted for over-reacting.

Higher vaccination rates allow for a verifiable decoupling of cases vs. deaths here in the US and allows for policy to change accordingly. The Media is doing an extremely poor job of communicating that information to the public, and the Provincetown cluster was the perfect example. The story SHOULD have been that because individuals in the group were vaccinated, that mortality was eliminated. Instead the messaging has been focused on the fact that vaccinated individuals are being infected (while ignoring severity of sickness), which only further muddies the water for those who are hesitant to receive the vaccine, or further emboldens anti-vaxxers unscientific and unsubstantiated claims. Enjoying the summer here in Boston which has been business as usual for 4 months. No masks, no problem.

#ConfirmationBias I would love to hear your definition of "Poison" and substantiate that definition with facts.

Thanks for pointing this out. I had used the xmACIS2 website and perhaps got a bad data pull. It's reflecting 0.38 as well now.

To what extent does the NWS conduct reoccurring quality control tests at their main regional sites? Multiple stations surrounding Logan Airport (East Boston, Winthrop, North End) all indicate a pretty healthy rainfall of 0.5-1.0 inches last night. It certainly appeared to be the case given the conditions and radar signature. "Official" Boston tally from Logan came in with 0.13 inches Not the first time this July the official Boston numbers have been a little wonky.

While I don't doubt for a second that widespread obesity has played a major role in the level of United States deaths, based on what I have seen, on a per capita basis the United States has faired broadly in line with other European developed nations (Belgium, France, UK, Italy, Spain, Portugal, Sweden, Switzerland). One would have to imagine that challenged standards and a lack of testing infrastructure would indicate that most developing or under-developed countries have not had the necessary tools in place and are likely under reporting relative to the above. There are of a course a few bad actors who are likely underreporting for other reasons. Unfortunately the problems we are seeing here in the US are not unique to our country, for better or worse...

A shame that there doesn't appear to be any quality control at Logan Airport. Multiple stations surrounding the airport (East Boston, Winthrop, North End) all indicate 0.6-1.0 inches of rain, and it certainly appeared to be the case given the conditions. "Official" Boston tally from Logan came in with 0.13 inches

Snowing all the way down on Cape Cod. Quite the storm, just a few months too late.

5.5” OTG in Barnstable, MA. Surprised to see the NWS report of 7.7” given surrounding totals and higher amounts logically towards the canal. While I’m sure some melting occurred during the day yesterday, I doubt it was 2” worth...

Last gasp down on Cape Cod as the clock strikes 1:00AM.

Best returns of the day by far here in the North End, Boston. That final band was good to us, delivering strong snow growth. 5.5 inch 2-day total. Will likely end up right at 6”.

Most of the afternoon was spent with temps in the 33-34 degree range with decent mixing, especially mid to lower cape. Similar situation to 2/1, snow falling throughout the day but little to show for it thanks to being on the wrong side of the coastal front. Most Cape locations had around 3 inches from yesterday which was a decent surprise, so won’t take much to get into the 4-6 range.

Mid & Upper Cape trying to fend off the mix.

MV unfortunately rain/mix under this band.

I believe MV came in with 4 inches on most recent report. Pretty decent cutoff even on Cape depending on how close to the south shore you were.

Decent returns down on Cape Cod under this band.

Last push on Cape Cod. Looks like they’ll end up with 2-3”.

SE Mass could grab an extra inch with this last band rotating through.

Downtown Boston

Light snow down in Barnstable (Cape Cod)

Dangerous to lump in ACK with Cape Cod when it comes to winter weather. Proceed at your own peril!

I think we are splitting hairs, but to say 30 minutes of mixing (which I never observed in the mid-cape) met the criteria that was clearly being predicted is a stretch. Given it was a long duration 36 hour storm, 30 minutes of mixing vs. the predicated 50% storm duration is the opposite of "nailing" the forecast. If memory serves right ratios were also solid, and no where near the 8:1 or 10:1 one would expect if temps were as high as you believe they were. Also I would consider the Cape a different region all together when compared to MV and ACK. That's why they call it Cape Cod & the Islands . I don't think those locations are relevant to the conversation given they are very much their own climates due the ocean, but if those spots did receive 24", there's no way the Cape received less given a gradient to 36 in the Plymouth area. HRRR really cutting back QPF amounts this afternoon though, looks like SNE will be a pretty tough call.

Never intended to indicate that Boston was every predicted to changeover to rain. Was speaking specifically about the cape where nearly every met predicted 8-16 inches due to a firm changeover to rain. We ended up with 30-36 inches. Not sure whether a few minutes of mixing would qualify as confirmation given the wildly incorrect amounts. Matt Noyes did the best if memory serves right. But anyways, off topic, back to this nice little storm!