CCHurricane

Looks light on Cape, have +30" WTD in Barnstable

I fundamentally do not understand coming to a conclusion based on a 360-hour EPS run. If this past storm was any indication, these sort of model "means" can be wildly inaccurate even at just 120 hours out. Modeled period of elevated activity =/ snowfall.

We watch

There’s gotta be some +4” reports coming from this south shore band when it’s all said and done, no?

2-4 mm

23z HRRR with signs of the cave. All she wrote, on to the next one.

And 12z with the rug pull. Cape Cod will be lucky to come away with an inch. Inside 120hrs, a disaster class by the full suite of models. OP, AI, and Ensembles.

00Z suite look tepid. Max QPF across any one model is looking like 0.3, and thats the 12k NAM (whereas the 3k is only showing 0.15). NWS may have to discontinue that WSWatch, 4-7 looking a tad ambitious.

Cape Cod may be lucky to even get a dusting at this rate... Such wasted potential for all!

Oh I totally agree, haha. Just interested in that output given the QPF dump. Drifting would be historic at +50mph, redux 2005 despite it being a totally different setup.

I need a Kuchie output stat!

NOT TOO FAR

AI-GFS says game on for eastern areas...

#8 all-time storm here in Boston. Hard to complain about that. With this one wrapped up and on the books, 5 of the top 10 storms all-time for Boston will have come since 2013. Now to take a breather and enjoy some deep winter vibes.

BOS database management failing here, not sure why they are appearing to stack rank by single-day snowfall amounts (in the case of partial snowfall for 2003 storm) and compare to a 2-day total here. 2003 Presidents’ Day blizzard saw 27.6 for Boston and is actually the #1 all-time. 23.2” is still good for 8th all-time, just not right behind 2003.

Whatever helps you sleep at night… The fact remains that this was a memorable storm for all of the right reasons. Just because you weren’t here for it doesn’t make it any less important for those who experienced it. No different for what I’m sure have been countless events you’ve found memorable, that don’t even register for fellow board members. But you don’t see them being a complete a-hole about how it’s “not a big deal” that ultimately devolves into a juvenile gatekeeping / competition about who experienced “the best storms”. This storm will be memorable for all of the right reasons; 1) entrenched arctic airmass that held it’s ground 2) just the right amount of model waffling that brought this back from being a non-event Wed/Thur of last week 3 historically well producing SWFE that effected 1/3 of the country. 4) numerous +20” totals across the state of Massachusetts. 5) unpredictable mesoscale ending with amazing snowfall rates. 6 the most historically relevant metro area having this event stand at #10 all-time.

20.2" as of 7PM - next (and final) update should be midnight Only needs +1.3" for this to be the #10 snowstorm in Boston history, don't think that should be a problem given the surrounding reports from other board members. Very easy for folks to lose perspective with just how lucky we've been in the recent past. While its come at a cost (warmer winters), if this one scratches out 21.5", 5 of the top 10 storms all-time for Boston will have come since 2013.

Stacking up quickly. BOS may be able to pull off a top-10 storm after all.

Bufkit estimates were very accurate (both for NAM and GFS) for the locations that I checked leading up to the storm beginning. Now whether it was right for the right reasons, or right just by chance, I’ll let the actual mets share their thoughts.

2.8” needed from Logan this afternoon to join Boston’s top 10 storm all time list! 18.6” down, 21.4” is the mark.

Logan @ 16.7 at 12AM reading. +6.2 above 7PM reading of 10.2 —> 1.25 in/hr average.

Ocean enhanced bands along eastern MA coastline about to take center stage…

Burst back in Springfield should produce some solid returns

Saw the same thing, gravity waves fade where the sleet/snow line appears to be.