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CCHurricane

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Everything posted by CCHurricane

  1. 20.2" as of 7PM - next (and final) update should be midnight Only needs +1.3" for this to be the #10 snowstorm in Boston history, don't think that should be a problem given the surrounding reports from other board members. Very easy for folks to lose perspective with just how lucky we've been in the recent past. While its come at a cost (warmer winters), if this one scratches out 21.5", 5 of the top 10 storms all-time for Boston will have come since 2013.
  2. Bufkit estimates were very accurate (both for NAM and GFS) for the locations that I checked leading up to the storm beginning. Now whether it was right for the right reasons, or right just by chance, I’ll let the actual mets share their thoughts.
  3. 2.8” needed from Logan this afternoon to join Boston’s top 10 storm all time list! 18.6” down, 21.4” is the mark.
  4. any idea what sort of ratio these images are using? doesn't look 10:1 based on amounts, kuchera or something different altogether?
  5. 850mb temps noticeably colder on 18z NAM. 0C never gets to coastal CT, RI, or even Cape Cod.
  6. Boston / SNE news stations love to take a pass on actually making a call for Cape Cod during storms like this. Always seem to cut the Cape in half with two shades / buckets of 8-12" & 12-18". Heads they win, tails you lose!
  7. How long the primary system holds on over interior mid-Atlantic vs. transfer to the coast will be important for extreme southern New England areas. 12z NAM seems to transfer to coast a bit quicker with primary not making it as nearly as far north —> flatter run
  8. 18z AI-EURO ticking a hair colder and dials back the precip just a bit in northern New England. Confirms widespread +1 foot with QPF ranging from 1.1-1.4 across all of MA, CT, and RI. South Shore looks to be the jackpot.
  9. Recent system this past Sunday/Monday a great example. Had Cape Cod modeled as rain for the majority of precip with no significant accumulations. Ended up with a widespread 4-6".
  10. GFS, AIGFS, ICON, UKIE, all showing solid hits, especially when factoring +10:1 rates. We take.
  11. Secondary low is back on the menu re: ICON on Monday night thru Tuesday morning.
  12. Storm thread is not allowed to be opened until inside of D3
  13. did it? Looks to be cut back quite a bit from 6z... A distinctly separate secondary low days later is what leads to some additional upside. 06Z 12z
  14. Likely increase these by 50%-100% for all areas in New England. Ratios should be 15-20:1 with temps ~20 or lower.
  15. Ratios should be killer, could be ~15/20:1 for most. Won't take that much moisture to produce +6". ICON bump north below (00z vs. 12z)
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