CCHurricane

Accumulating on Cape Cod

Can someone comment as to the 18z Euro's expected peak wind gusts for Boston / Cape Cod? Appreciate it!

How do potential wind gusts look during the height of the storm?

Not sure how that reflects relative to 12z, but banding enhancement certainly looks to be appearing with that “bump” in precip field.

This is partially a commentary on the modern news cycle, the need to be first and gain eyes, and the ease at which model output has now become accessible. In my opinion, even when there is model agreement prior, publicly making available snowfall amount forecasts or maps 18-24 hours prior to an event is irresponsible. We’ve seen time and again how things can shift, and even when Mets explicitly state this people often focus simply on the numbers. My two cents: There needs to be a step back to speaking in generalities and the impact, rather than the amount. -Significant -Moderate -Low

With ratios I think 18 is achievable. 15:1 will get them there based on most current QPF output.

Precip sheild is definitely more developed west, but LP movement north looks accelerated and center looks like it is actually east? Dueling lows... Odd run with almost two distinct precip fields, one for the LP that "loses" out, and than another one closer to the close as it takes over.

Lost in all of this chaos is Cape Cod no longer being a solid position...gradient between 2 feet and not much looks to be ~25 miles.

Just because you're (*the NAM, not you Phin!) is eventually right, doesn't mean that the last 9 times you were wrong should be ignored. The NAM being referenced outside of 24-48 hours should be banned from this forum.

Can anyone point to any mixing threat on the Upper/Middle Cape on the 18z Euro? Looking at 850mb temps on other runs, it looks like dynamic cooling will keep everywhere but maybe Nantucket and the outer Cape in the white.

For James!!!

Waiting for the Kuchie Euro maps

No disrespect to Bouchard, but I've found him to be perennially under-appreciate snowfall totals. He whiffed big earlier this year with our first storm here in Boston and I'll never forgive his 12-18 inches for Cape Cod in Jan 2005 blizzard. Ha!

Sir, this is a Wendy’s.

Quite an odd looking map given projected QPF rates (by even the most conservative global models) and where temps are expected to be. Will be interesting to monitor how this changes.

Very much agree. While unlikely, OES and high ratios could get them into the 30" ballpark according to the GFS. What a historic storm back in Jan 2005. My fondest memory was that as the storm was beginning, most TV Mets had rain and mixing for those across the Cape...never came!

All about perspective. It would certainly be a historic storm from Boston points south through Cape Cod and could threaten top-10 all time 2 day snowfall totals, while likely being number 1 near the Canal.

People will see and latch on to what they want to see, I wouldn't put too much stock into the NAM at 84hrs out. Fun to look at, but in any other circumstance everyone would agree that the 12km NAM is essentially worthless.

What do we have to collectively pay to just lock this in. Can we all agree to this?

As we approach the Witching Hour...

Even the GFS has most of NH with a solid 6-12, and 12-18 likely with elevation in the Whites and/or towards the coast. Not a bad hit for pretty much everyone NH points south and to the east.

Cape Cod beginning to get in on the action.

Decent swipe early tomorrow down on the Cape on the Euro. Another shift to the north.

Any idea if this economic forecast was before or after Geely purchased the brand from Ford? For all intents and purposes, the brand was bankrupt after Ford ran them into the ground. Great that they are thriving now, love the current vehicle platform.

Also looking for paid services too. AccuWeather used to have solid functionality.