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CCHurricane

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Everything posted by CCHurricane

  1. CCHurricane
    FWIW: while still VERY far away from GFS solution, UKMET 12z vs. 00z changed upper level look quite a bit. Having said that, end result could still be the same with as we've seen time and time again this winter re: vort messing with track well off the coast...
  2. CCHurricane
    GEFS looks to be doubling down on OP run.
  3. CCHurricane
    CMC going the way of the EURO. Not looking good for the GFS
  4. CCHurricane
    Confirmation bias here we come. 18z ICON with the big bump NW for SE New England.
  5. CCHurricane
    It won’t take much to move it another 50 miles…
  6. CCHurricane
    Nuke for the Cape...widespread 8-12 for most of SE New England.
  7. CCHurricane
    Likely the last flood of the pond this winter here on Cape Cod. What a stretch of cold…snowstorm from 3 weeks ago that dropped 15” still very much OTG. Since January 24th (22 days): 19 days with high temps below 33°F 18 nights with lows below 20°F 9 nights with lows below 10°F
  8. CCHurricane
  9. CCHurricane
    In over +100 years (since 1918), Boston is looking to make a run at the longest stretch (19-days) where day-time highs failed to break above 34°F (currently at 16). Impressive stuff to not have a few days pop into the 40's, while also considering the potentially warm-biased Logan readings vs. history.
  10. CCHurricane
    So just a tad more than 1 inch. Gotta stay positive! Results to the north boded well for you.
  11. CCHurricane
    Looks light on Cape, have +30" WTD in Barnstable
  12. CCHurricane
    I fundamentally do not understand coming to a conclusion based on a 360-hour EPS run. If this past storm was any indication, these sort of model "means" can be wildly inaccurate even at just 120 hours out. Modeled period of elevated activity =/ snowfall.
  13. CCHurricane
    We watch
  14. CCHurricane
    There’s gotta be some +4” reports coming from this south shore band when it’s all said and done, no?
  15. CCHurricane
    2-4 mm
  16. CCHurricane
    23z HRRR with signs of the cave. All she wrote, on to the next one.
  17. CCHurricane
    And 12z with the rug pull. Cape Cod will be lucky to come away with an inch. Inside 120hrs, a disaster class by the full suite of models. OP, AI, and Ensembles.
  18. CCHurricane
    00Z suite look tepid. Max QPF across any one model is looking like 0.3, and thats the 12k NAM (whereas the 3k is only showing 0.15). NWS may have to discontinue that WSWatch, 4-7 looking a tad ambitious.
  19. CCHurricane
    Cape Cod may be lucky to even get a dusting at this rate... Such wasted potential for all!
  20. CCHurricane
    Oh I totally agree, haha. Just interested in that output given the QPF dump. Drifting would be historic at +50mph, redux 2005 despite it being a totally different setup.
  21. CCHurricane
    I need a Kuchie output stat!
  22. CCHurricane
    NOT TOO FAR
  23. CCHurricane
  24. CCHurricane
    AI-GFS says game on for eastern areas...
  25. CCHurricane
    #8 all-time storm here in Boston. Hard to complain about that. With this one wrapped up and on the books, 5 of the top 10 storms all-time for Boston will have come since 2013. Now to take a breather and enjoy some deep winter vibes.
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