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tnweathernut

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Everything posted by tnweathernut

  1. tnweathernut
    Glad you are feeling better, Jeff. Just curious, did you take the flu shot this year?
  2. tnweathernut
    I wouldn't discount the Euro snow map from Holston above. It does display a relative snow hole over my house in Washington County of northeast TN. This is likely more accurate than anyone realizes. lol
  3. tnweathernut
    I don't want any part of early and heavy snows (in October). I'm not superstitious, but I have definitely seen that movie a couple of times before.
  4. tnweathernut
    I just need Tyreek Hill to come back for FF purposes........... is that too much to ask?
  5. tnweathernut
    Flurries in early March, after all the LR model teases for the past two months, is equivalent to a kick in the nads.
  6. tnweathernut
    The 12z EPS has a decent signal for something minor around day 8 and something more significant around day 10....
  7. tnweathernut
    Yes, a rip off indeed. We have almost been able to set our watches by the late blooming -NAO’s for the last several years. That said, I feel good if we can get the PAC under control the NAO will follow with plenty of time left here......and especially in your neck of the woods. Also, I have been extremely encouraged with the changes with the LR ensembles. It’s actually been fun to watch the last couple of days, plus it silences the negative nancies for a bit. Not even incremental changes, but pretty dramatic which tells me the looks we see the next few days may get better even quicker. The OP’s were throwing hints for a couple of runs before the ensembles started changing. One of the few times that will happen. All in all we should have some good times ahead.
  8. tnweathernut
    We usually find a strong -NAO, but we usually wait till late March and April to pull it off. haha
  9. tnweathernut
    Good luck over that way to our coastal folks. I concur, trends are encouraging for a surprise. Doesn’t mean it has to, but it is getting closer and closer with a little time left to go.
  10. tnweathernut
    You see it time and time again. The heavy snows tend to take people off the roads before the event, but the quick light hitters with plummeting temps usually create an ice skating rink that jam up roads with stuck and wrecked cars. I hope that doesn't happen, but it's certainly on the table after looking at 12z modeling. Hopefully, if this look holds the news organizations will do a good job preparing drivers.
  11. tnweathernut
    Agree, great post!
  12. tnweathernut
    I can vouch. Very heavy radar echos with just enough evap cooling in Johnson City and surrounding areas to turn us to snow and produce the largest snowflakes I have seen since 1998. Some were the size of the bottom of a water bottle. Picked up a quick 1/2-1 inch that was not on the radar of meteorologists. Melted quickly after the precip stopped, but heavy daytime snow is always fun regardless of whether it sticks around or not.
  13. tnweathernut
    January 3, 2018 - Charleston and much of the SC Coast (inland in GA). Not sure they have too many years where back to back years produces, but it looks like a possibility.
  14. tnweathernut
    I think everyone is shooting for Uber white.... kidding aside....Modeling has been rock steady showing a great system for you guys and the meso models are now showing colder thermals. Y’all enjoy, but keep your eyes on the thermals up until the last moment. It wouldn’t be the first time a rug was pulled in the last seconds. Best of luck sent from the other side of the hill.
  15. tnweathernut
    That map I posted for 1960 doesn't really have any reports from your area, but if you guessed based on nearby reports that would have put you in the 30-35" range. I am guessing you were probably higher than that though.....?
  16. tnweathernut
    This is also a great site if you have a few hours to kill. Not all stations reported, but several did. You can find one close to you and search daily data. http://w2.weather.gov/climate/xmacis.php?wfo=mrx
  17. tnweathernut
    1960 is the gold standard for mid-south/southeast/carolina's March snow. It gets talked about a lot and I remember first studying it back when easternwx was around. Here is a 500mb map from the first 1/2 of 1960 as well as the surface temp anomaly for the same period. There are some 500 similarities, but I don't think the cold would have the potential to be as strong. I have also included the snow map I could find. I am sure it doesn't do John's snowfall justice (lol), but it was accurate for "recorded snow in and around the Tri-Cities (snowiest March on record just shy of 28")
  18. tnweathernut
    That's part of what made 1993 so special. Just think of the technology we had back then and to know this system was fairly well forecast from 5 days out while the southeast baked in above normal temps leading up to the event is pretty remarkable. I can't imagine what this board would be like if a system like that started showing up on modeling almost a week out and came to fruition. Pretty sure the servers wouldn't be able to handle it. I was in college at ETSU. I remember the forecast for a heavy snow, but being from Nashville I took a chance and left for spring break to be with family and friends. I left that Friday, the 12th at the same time a buddy of mine at ETSU left to head to Danville, VA. I only saw light snow showers and flurries till late that night when backbuilding FINALLY edged into middle TN (we ended up with 2-3", but I remember drifts over 8'). A couple of weeks later I learned my buddy, who left at the same time, encountered heavy snows heading through SW VA and got stuck between here and home. He said the snow got heavy quick and he ended up spending a good chunk of spring break at a run down motel...
  19. tnweathernut
    Through 45 looks like less interaction between streams and a more positive tilt. I would think less amped and a bit further east with the heavier axis of precip.
  20. tnweathernut
    North Carolina teachers must be different from TN teachers. All I hear over here on this side of the mountain are teachers practically BEGGING for snow days, lol.....
  21. tnweathernut
    +1. Might even be worth a plus 2....
  22. tnweathernut
    now that is funny....
  23. tnweathernut
    Stove, you are amazing with gardening stuff. I love reading this thread and think I will start a garden often, but then I just go to the store or farmers market and get good veggies there. Hope you guys get enough rain for a bumper crop this year.
  24. tnweathernut
    That's awesome, hope your tomato plants do well. I know harvesting those will be extra special!
  25. tnweathernut
    Welcome to the board Olhausen. Great to have you. I grew up in Gallatin, but worked a couple of summers at the Osh Kosh plant in White House while in college. I know your area well and look forward to your contributions on our board.
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