roardog

If anything close to the Nam happened, there would be drifts to the tops of houses around here with the amount of snow already on the ground. lol

Have you seen what the models have done with these storms during this time frame the last 10 years including this last one? lol

I believe it was Feb. 2021. We’ve only had about 34 inches for the season so it really shows the staying power the snow pack has had this winter. There’s people talking about how there’s been so much snow this winter when the reality is it’s just been cold enough here to not fully melt it with the exception of what fell at the very beginning of December and the brief torch at the end of December.

About 5 inches here. A little bit of an under performer for a Winter Storm Warning. About 15 inches on the ground now.

It looks like they’re developing the system a little faster again and it’s causing a band of heavier snow to develop from about your area through the thumb and into Ontario.

It’s met spring by then and I feel like the mid Atlantic had a decent winter by Nina standards.

So while all of your friends were seeking out real porn, you were seeking out the rain/snow line.

It’s like in the summer with an MCS. I need to see storms around Green Bay if I’m going to feel confident with getting anything other than some sprinkles. Most of the time though, they’re firing around Milwaukee which is a no go for here with the inevitable dive SE.

Not much change on the 12Z Euro. Maybe a slight tick weaker. Low tracks just east of Port Huron. It does show about a half inch of freezing rain around Detroit though.

On these SW to NE moving lows, we pretty much need the same track. Maybe more toward Toledo would be best here but what’s a few miles in the end.

Yeah, it doesn’t matter what it ingests. It still causes it to take a dump later.

That would the worst. You would get dry slotted so you wouldn’t even get ice storm warning criteria freezing rain. Boring. lol

That’s too warm for me in July.

Nam changes Detroit to Port Huron to plain rain as the low goes over/just slightly east of Detroit. Brings the sleet to just south of here for a bit.

18Z Euro continues to move north. Ice storm for Michsnowfreak. lol

I guess there’s still a cutoff but it’s a cutoff from snow to some other form of precip instead of snow to nothing.

Yeah. The rivers have a lot of ice too. It seems ripe for ice jams this year if it warms up too fast with rain.

At least this one would be the classic moisture laden storm that covers a large area and isn’t reliant on a narrow dynamic band of snow with a razor sharp cut off that can make or break a forecast hours before it starts. I’m tired of those. lol

I think the past two winters being so mild for most of the Great Lakes( I know 22-23 wasn't mild from Minnesota on west though)along with such a warm Fall last year might have allowed the warmer water to get a little deeper in the lakes. It hasn't been a warm winter at all but it seems like it's taking extra long for the lakes to cool down with the exception of Erie but that's a shallow lake. I mean, December was right around normal here with some very cold balanced out by a few very mild days at the end of the month, January had below normal temperatures with definitely some very extreme cold mixed in that you don't see every winter, yet Lake Huron still has some 40 degree water temps in the deep part. I can't remember seeing that happen when it hasn't been a mild winter.

Euro has been moving north the last couple of runs, at least over here. The 12Z run brings an ice storm to Toledo(around .4 inches of ice)and the far SE corner of Michigan, where as that area was mostly snow on the last run and all snow on the run before that.

Over performer here. Ended up with about 6 inches. We have about 11 inches on the ground now.

Brutal cutoff with this thing. I thought I might be on the wrong side of that cutoff with the way the short term models were looking but it's been snowing here since about 1:30, sometimes pretty hard. If you go about 20 miles south of here, there's been pretty much nothing.

I like when you come in with accurate information that goes back further than the “cold” ‘60s and ‘70s.

It looks like about a half inch of snow here. A real whopper of a storm.

Yeah. A stronger and more organized storm would have given both of us freezing rain changing to rain. There was never really much chance of snow for either of us with this one.