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Maestrobjwa

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Everything posted by Maestrobjwa

  1. Maestrobjwa
    So we're essentially facing the same setup as last year? (correct me if I'm oversimplifying). If so...wouldn't that make the winter forecast easier, since you could just go by last year, and go from there? Both weak ninos...the Hadley cell thing you mentioned: would it stand to reason the process will pretty much go the same way? (of course I'd like better than last year, but...if we're dealing with this "not coupling to the atmosphere" again...I won't put my expectations past last year)
  2. Maestrobjwa
    Not sure how much you can count 1941/42...The only reason for those 21 inches is because of that highly anomalous Palm Sunday blizzard. Don't want to have to rely on a redux of that! (and 1930/31...to have that tiny amount of snow to only get 10 in march doesn't seem worth the wait) So overall...that would be a recipe for mediocrity...("very backloaded" is tough to bet on...let's hope that's not the case!)
  3. Maestrobjwa
    But wait...then how do we know what kind of ENSO we're in? (And are we reaching a point where we can't rely on history/analogs as much? And if we can't...how do ya make predictions? I'm particularly thinking about last year and how a lot of people got it wrong...partly because a weak El Niño was showing yet didn't behave like one. Are we entering uncharted weather territory overall due to the changing climate? If so...woe to the folks trying to make accurate predictions, lol
  4. Maestrobjwa
    Can anybody point to a reliable source for ENSO history? (I'm looking to compare snowfall during neutral winters for my region, lol)
  5. Maestrobjwa
    Uh-oh...smh I don't understand how we came to this. That even WEATHER has been poisoned by the divisiveness that has come with this presidency! I mean look, he messed up...but because of his otherworldly level of narcissism, he could not let it go (which led to the media not letting it go) because he can't stand looking bad even in the littlest thing. Mercy...we can't have this with weather warnings--lest people be less likely to react to a real threat!
  6. Maestrobjwa
    Lol
  7. Maestrobjwa
    Eric Webb found some humor in the situation...lol
  8. Maestrobjwa
    Maybe I might be a bit biased for my own region...lol Where I am that blend ain't the greatest (more in the "okay" category like last winter!)
  9. Maestrobjwa
    Except we really don't know where it's gonna hit yet...so ya might wanna hold off on that, Analogon! (gonna start calling ya that because I've seen somebody dissect analogues to the minute detail you do! )
  10. Maestrobjwa
    Oh stop...Man, you lucky stormtracker isn't in here...you know what's he'd tell you to do, lol
  11. Maestrobjwa
    I hope not...Could you clarify what you meant by "this isn't new"? Certainly the PAC hasn't been hostile all decade, right?
  12. Maestrobjwa
    True...And just the winter forecasts in general done by even the more knowledgeable and experienced last winter...fell hard! And it was like "Uhh, we don't know why it's doing what it's doing", lol Last winter seemed to baffle more forecasters than usual (but perhaps I'm just imagining it!)
  13. Maestrobjwa
    Harder??? I mean my goodness...last winter, I don't think anybody got it right (at least not for the northeastern part of the country). I mean it didn't do what anybody thought it would...So if this winter is gonna be even harder to predict, then just throw predicitons out the window, lol
  14. Maestrobjwa
    I mean...how long is "awhile"? We had a neutral in 2014-15 didn't we?
  15. Maestrobjwa
    No kidding about that! Line would probably stop right at Baltimore City, lol
  16. Maestrobjwa
    Yeah, I mean...the snow greed in me wants to be jealous, but...just being able to go outside and be surrounded by it...(and using my shovel for the first time since 2016)...nice start to our prime climo! Can't wait to see what's on tap in the coming weeks!
  17. Maestrobjwa
    Dang all the schools went and flipped the off switch, lol
  18. Maestrobjwa
    I take it Baltimore is a bit of it now, right?
  19. Maestrobjwa
    Well hey we reached warning status...that's a plus, right? Lol
  20. Maestrobjwa
    Yeah kinda sucks...but, it doing just as modeled
  21. Maestrobjwa
    I'm a bit jealous of those heavy bands down there...hope they can make it up there! (Yeah I'm that guy...I'll grow past it eventually, lol)
  22. Maestrobjwa
    I hope so!
  23. Maestrobjwa
    Seems to be a bit heavier here in the city...not sure if the heavier stuff has made it up here yet...
  24. Maestrobjwa
    Wonder if Balt. City will officially hit 5 inches for the first time 2016 (even the storm last March officially came up like .4 inches short, haha)
  25. Maestrobjwa
    Amazing how the city has kinda been the dividing line (even since the deeper colors on would halt literally at the city...why is that? Just topography, or just where the entire storm happened to be positioned?)
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