Maestrobjwa

Well thankfully this is just day 10 and we don't have to overanalyze it!

How is that even possible, lol

Lol...I was just asking because I've had to shift through weekend posts to look for posts about how things up top were lookin' beyond that! (Not looking past this threat, though...but I am looking for anymore potential in the pipeline!)

Err...is it time to make a separate thread for this?...

Man I despise that emoji, lol Why man? Ain't the setup after that what we're focusing on more anyway? And could you elaborate a bit on what you mean by "wants no parts of it" (imo it does make it a bit confusing when people will say things like that without saying exactly what--we folk without full EURO access rely on you guys' descriptions!)

Figured it out! (I forgot to wait for it to embed automatically before posting)

I try that and it only shows the link text and not the image

Quick website question: How do you guys embed a tweet like that so that it shows up like this?

I'd argue that peak snow climo, which I give more credence to, is mid-January through President's Day

Yep, that was the epic 2009-10 winter! And I remember the Canada warmth because of the difficulties it caused for the winter Olympics, lol And I hope that wasn't a "grand finale" of good blocking...hopefully it was just a decadal cycle that some theorize the NAO to go in!

What about the opposite? Like 2010 when they couldn't buy a flake up there while we got buried? Lol (was that a rare case where a warm Canada wasn't bad? Haha)

Hey...I'd rather transient cold shots be the worst case scenario than a pac flood, lol (and btw...we still managed a pretty good storm at the end of January 2000...so there's that! ) Hey @psuhoffman Ya got one of those maps for that month?

Lol I've been meaning to ask about what the EURO was saying! (seems the GFS has been waffling a bit...but overall, does it seem like a lighter storm than the driving rain it was advertising a couple days ago?)

Dang...So right now it's basically a model war for determining the fate of the winter? Whoa boy...gonna be a long 10-15 days, lol (but at least we'll finally know something by then...)

If we're extremely lucky? The Farmer's Almanac will be correct, lol (they said 4"-8" inches in the "Northeast" for this date range. Of course, the 4" may be closer to our max...but who knows? )

They've been making out like fat rats since last winter, smh

Good news is we've had plenty of wet football practice this year...so there is that, lol

Oh yeah? Shoot...(and the 12z GFS does have the yellow right over us near gametime, too, smh Home field advantage...go figure)

I guess it's no missing that rainstorm next weekend, huh? Smh Bad timing

It snowed last January...lol But prime climo is pushed to mid/late January, though--I never expect anything before then. (This year it's shaping up to be February at the rate we're going)

This is unfortunate...because that means one less we can snow here now. If it can only happen during moderate Niños (since obviously last year's weak one also didn't work under these new climate conditions), I'm wondering if we're in danger of only getting legitimate snows an average of 3/10 years per decade as opposed to our current 4 or 5/10 years. (I mean mod ninos...why are those only once or twice a decade, anyway? Smh) If climate change is now stealing lowering our chances for snow even MORE...we need to appreciate whatever we get, however we get it (ESPECIALLY warning level snows)

I'm not sure we got any more than 3 or 4 inches (will have to check the official record, though). And with last January's 4.8 inches...we still technically haven't had a warning level event verify here since 2016, lol

In regards to the solar...it's possible this winter further makes the argument for the lag period between the minimum and any blocking benefits we get from it (as we were discussing a couple months ago. Doesn't seem like the lag period is always a given--we certainly benefited in 1986-87 and 1995-96, lol). If we only reached the minimum THIS year and not last, it could be that we don't feel that until next winter...(and even then it may not be guaranteed--although in our more recent decades, we have benefited from the previous 4 solar mins. It seems like the one in May 1976 may have lagged for a year resulting in the 1977-78 winter. Connection?)

Booo...I don't get the appeal golf...lol (only thing I get any measure of enjoyment out of is the long hole-in-ones! ) But I digress...I've always had the long game in mind for winter. Knowing that the times we score don't usually come until after Jan. 15th...I have no issue punting the first part of January.

So you're saying it doesn't look like we get that blocking in the foreseeable future, or?