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Maestrobjwa

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Everything posted by Maestrobjwa

  1. Maestrobjwa
    So we shouldn't count on it to help us this winter?
  2. Maestrobjwa
    So we shouldn't count on it to help us this winter?
  3. Maestrobjwa
    Positive territory for the short term orthe long term?
  4. Maestrobjwa
    You think a -NAO is still on the table?
  5. Maestrobjwa
    Boo for the +NAO....gotta be the most stubborn one we've had in recent memory!
  6. Maestrobjwa
    What makes you say that?
  7. Maestrobjwa
    Don't use that word around these parts...
  8. Maestrobjwa
    Sweet mercy I am so done with that...See, I'm still young in the snow tracking game, so the last two years have taught me some hard snow lessons about that! (I still can't look at snowmaps without flashbacks...traumatized! hahaha) So if you have a Miller A...it's more about those slugs of moisture coming from the south than timing the "bomb" off the coast? (So in other words...with those, we don't have to worry as much about it "bombing too late and hitting NE"?)
  9. Maestrobjwa
    Sweet mercy I am so done with that...See, I'm still young in the snow tracking game, so the last two years have taught me some hard snow lessons about that! (I still can't look at snowmaps without flashbacks...traumatized! hahaha) So if you have a Miller A...it's more about those slugs of moisture coming from the south than timing the "bomb" off the coast? (So in other words...with those, we don't have to worry as much about it "bombing too late and hitting NE"?)
  10. Maestrobjwa
    Feels like we need this in any winter given how we can fail on any storm, lol
  11. Maestrobjwa
    So what are you saying...ya think we'll be tracking with no results or that we may actually get something?
  12. Maestrobjwa
    Ew yuck again...lol But does this mean that...we have lower odds of seeing a -NAO this winter, then?
  13. Maestrobjwa
    Ew yuck!!! Why...just why? Lol Man I hope we can get that to break soon!
  14. Maestrobjwa
    Now I didn't quite understand what he meant by Wave 1 and Wave 2...Could one of you elaborate on what that means for the NAO? (And what do we want to see from those waves that could indicate which direction the NAO might go next month?)
  15. Maestrobjwa
    I was trying to sugarcoat my answer, lolol It is difficult to muster up good snow tidings for up there knowing full well that their success often comes at our expense...lol)
  16. Maestrobjwa
    Now when you say "here" I take it you're talking about your area? (NM?) I live in the Mid-Atl which is why I have a particular interest in the ENSO!
  17. Maestrobjwa
    So just to clarify...which end of the spectrum are you saying we're closer to? Those Novembers that were warm in the NE? (And what implications could that have going forward?)
  18. Maestrobjwa
    Ya think so? If it does reach that...then hey, I'd be willing to go (mostly) all in too! (Anybody else have any thoughts on it reaching moderate status? @psuhoffman, @Bob Chill?)
  19. Maestrobjwa
    That's what I said...how can he go big like that when we don't know for sure if it'll even reach mod Niño status? (Unless he thinks that it will?)
  20. Maestrobjwa
    When's the last time that's happened, though? Where both places cash in at once? (And doesn't SNE cash in every year--with many of the storms that miss us hitting them? Lol I mean as long as we BOTH cash in, okay...but them cashing in at our expense? I think we've seen enough of that just over the last two years alone!)
  21. Maestrobjwa
    So in other words...this winter may be a colder El Niño since we had a La niña last year? (Do you have any data to show on that correlation?)
  22. Maestrobjwa
    Sweet mama!!! Deluge here in Balt. City...definitely some good guests with this one!
  23. Maestrobjwa
    No, not strong! You don't wanna flip that coin between a possible one-hit wonder-like winter (2015-16, 1982-83) or no no snow at all (1972-73, 1997-98)...Moderate is best! And really...perhaps when it's weaker, you still can get more moderate events...that's something, at least...most weak-moderate Niños seem to hit average snowfall...
  24. Maestrobjwa
    Now uh...there's talk in the ENSO thread about how the warmth is going from west to east...as opposed to starting from east and draining west like it did in years like 2002 and 2009...Now, wha6 do we want, ideally? West-central based El Niños? (And what happens in the basin-wide and east based events? Any duds?)
  25. Maestrobjwa
    In what way do you think it'll matter?
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