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Everything posted by Maestrobjwa
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Thanks. I don't know what his problem is or why he singles me out among the others here...and again, we did this exactly one year ago where he fired a random shot at me out of nowhere, as if I'm the center of the problem, smh
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Hello! Mid-Atlantic dweller here...Now I'd caution against thinking the euro being on an island is a good thing. Last Friday it was on it's own showing a cutter a cutter up here...until all the other guidance caved to it the very next day, lol Not to say it definitely happens the same way, but...just something to consider!
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Man I hope we don't draw a la nina next year...that would be a punch in the gut after going through all this (unless we pull off a miracle thos witner) While winters like this one are tough...la ninas are straight-up heartbreakers with the propensity for close misses, smh (la nina means snowhole 75% of the time). If I had to choose between la nina and what we have now...man, I don't know. 2017-18 killed me, lol At least we don't have to hear about folks south and east and northeast of us cashing in while we sit here snowless! Ya know, if we were in a better position to score during la ninas...our overall snow average would probably be a little higher! Because you just think if losing 2 or 3 winters per decade to a la nina...get those back and we'd be better, lol
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Ohhh yes...I was just thinking about that storm! I was up late (as usual) and saw some of the action with those rates! Awesome storm!
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I continue to believe that...if we were to pull out a miracle snow or something...and it is enough for us to shovel...it'll be a foot, I'm telling ya. Problem is the odds are still long. Just saying though...with a fluke, or us getting lucky with timing or whatever...we already know that it would likely be more than enough moisture. So I think we either fluke and get a foot, or continue on the way we have (with maybe a couple mangled flakes at best). Hard to see it being an in between 5-8 or something...not in a year like this, lol But again, long odds atm...not saying or pinning any hope on something...just a guess on what might happen if we get a miracle, lol
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Okay I've gotta ask...exactly how old are you? (I have been curious due to how you often mention not getting any younger and such...lol)
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Local met Vytas Reid on here rubbing salt in the wound...outlining how much snow we'd have if all this rain were frozen. Nice one, dude...(along with repeated emphasis that we were "rainy not snowy") That was probably the most depressing local news forecast I've ever heard...oof
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Ya know, I had thought about whether what some of us seem to suffer from bears any comparison to SAD/SDD (like an opposite form, almost). But ya hit on the head, though...And see, it's so illogical to be depressed about this when, as @stormtracker said, you're still breathing and in relatively good health. And yet still, some of us struggle...and I don't quite understand why. So many blessings that we couldn't count them all...and yet some of us sit here being depressed from a lack of snow? I don't get it...it's like an entity that has some kind of control over the mind or something. I get the feeling some truly haven't mastered how to always have things to look forward to...that could be the center of it. If you have trouble throughout the year...then along come DJF and ya start placing your hopes on having snow to look forward to, and we have a season like this instead...and boom. Hence the result. Not a good cycle to be in! (Hey, maybe we oughta start a snow psychology thread...lol Or perhaps a perspective thread people can go to to remember how NOT big of a deal this has to be!)
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My mind went to a similar place, lol I was gonna rail on this winter for messing yet another thing up!
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Thanks for taking the time to write that response, Bob. Yes...there are times when it does adversely affect my life way more than it should...and I really don't know why or how to manage it, tbh. (and I have trouble controlling the sadness the non-snow brings. Snow potential gives the hope of something exciting/fulfilling to look forward to in DJF...) But when an entire season looks bad from January, it's like...the entire winter becomes colored with a gloomy brush (that's how PSU's analysis felt last month)...like the entire Jan and Feb were now worthless, down the toilet, nothing to look forward to, etc...it's tough when this controls ya like this.
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Shoot...as winter like this...is plenty of justification for an online meltdown of epic proportions. I don't have anywhere else to vent where folks would even remotely understand... I can't even look at any video or new stories about snow elsewhere right now without being depressed. Worst I have ever felt in the middle of winter...knowing that things are so stuck in the worst possible position. I can't chase right now either. It's the feeling of...having not much else to look forward to until it snows again. Not logical, and not true...but that's what it feels like. How do you just process and accept a winter like this without it ruining your entire day, week, month, etc...This thing got me depressed when my energy is needed elsewhere. Yet it's hard to think about anything else... ...but we can't control the weather.
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I think a lot of us up and down the East Coast feel like spiralling. I see you guys haven't had it much better...it's hard to know how to just accept a winter this bad.
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Just want this month to be over...just get out from all this snow depression and quit being reminded of how snowless the immediate future may be.
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What is left then...dream about 10-11 months from now when we MIGHT get snow again? It's kinda like happiness delayed...Don't look to the weather for happiness...but we do it anyway, lol (although something about this seems emotionally wasteful...)
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You're fortunate to be able to travel for snow...
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2020 Mid-Atlantic Severe Weather - General Thread
Maestrobjwa replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yes seriously...I don't ever remember waking up to a morning thunderstorm in February (doesn't seem like we get them a lot in the morning even in the summertime!). Of course the weenie in me says "hey, maybe it re-shuffled the winter pattern!"...lol Either way, this was a bit anomalous, wasn't it? -
2020 Mid-Atlantic Severe Weather - General Thread
Maestrobjwa replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
4 tornados...in one February day. Wow! (can't believe I'm posting in a severe thread in February, lol) Now...shall the old folklore about thunder and snow ring true this time? Stay tuned! -
And now I just saw a flash of lightning and a bonafide thunder role here in the city
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Just popping in to see if thunder was heard...because, ya know...winter folklore and all that
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Welp, I was holding put hope for a PD weekend miracle, but.....if that is no longer possible...guess I gotta start grieving the winter (and the 3-4 year trend. What a way for it to end if that does indeed happen). And I'm already fearing for next year if we either get this same pattern, or even worse draw a la nina. Man if that happens next year, that's gonna be another gut punch. If we repeat this ENSO state for another year...that'll be another. This is absolutely the worst that could ever happen...and I am straight up depressed. I'll move on eventually...but just seeing the futility of this winter play out in real time makes it difficult because you're constantly reminded how bad it is...and it seriously dampens the days. Hard to get excited about things...winter ain't winter...it's just awful. Every morning I wake up to more bad news about the winter and it starts the day off terribly. Snow=some happiness (during JF in particular...) I can't move (for many reasons) and cannot make a trip, so I'm stuck. I don't care if I'm ranting...I've got every reason to, atm...I just want this month to be over already.
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Alright PSU if we actually get something to go the right way the same weekend you happen to be out of state...I'm afraid we will not be able to permit you to return until prime climo is over!
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February 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Maestrobjwa replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
Hello! Visiting from the Mid-ATL forum...We had a similar discussion during the Fall. One theory that was floated was in reference to a "lag" effect (I cannot remember what study was cited)--supposing that sometimes it was the winters after the minimum during which the minimum from the previous year may have affected blocking (for example, the previous solar minimum was listed as ending around December 2008. Of course it wasn't that winter but the following one that had the blocking. Now perhaps someone else may want to chime in on this "lag" theory. -
Thank you for making this, PSU. Ya know, maybe this is just my brain, but...sometimes when looking at these maps that show the -AO and all of those things...I have trouble visualizing the storm tracks while looking at them. Are there any vids that can show something like, say, an animation that illustrates a storm moving through/between these various atmospheric pieces?
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Still a tiny improvement though, isn't it?
