Maestrobjwa

And as slim as the chance is, (and I'm kicking myself for still keeping a tiny drop of hope for this thing, lol), I'm wondering if we wouldn't see that the models pickup on that until like...late tomorrow (or Thursday) at the earliest?

As of right now...it appears to have gotten cut, lol (could always turn around, of course...)

The heck is that from? Lolol

Yep...and I would hate for these last two weeks of January to be our last shot. Because even in these two lweeks things look difficult! And ya talk about February not looking to start off too well right now? Mercy...we just gotta hope for either a miracle with this weekend or next, or that we can get a small window we manage to score in next month. (Or a March miracle, lol)

Ah, but you know that ain't how the psychology works, lol Following LR is just looking for glimmers of something better...Snow=a measure happiness...Right now, the happiness delayed, with the dread of the "what if it doesn't come". So then... you keep looking into the future for possible evidence of said happiness. Since letting it play out requires living in the present, and the present doesn't have said happiness for some...ya keep looking to the future (LR). It's a bit of a messed up psychology, but that is what it seems to be for some of us, lol (Ya know, I've always contemplated starting a thread about what goes on in our minds when it comes to loving snow)

If we don't get a 12" snowfall this winter, this would be the first time in 25 years that we (that is BWI...I know DC hit a foot last year) would have gone more than 4 years without getting one of those. Not much you've been able to look to to predict snow around here...but since 1993, this has been the one thing you could rely on like clockwork. 3-4 years for 1 footers, 6-7 for 2 footers. Would be a shame for that trend to end...but let's just wait and see. All it would take is one fluke or short window scoring! I'm still ridin' with the trend!

Notice how that's literally every 6-7 years (except 2014)...lol (and wait, DCA didn't beat average in 2016? Did they not get as much as BWI?)

Ya don't say...thoughts? Lol

But one day (hopefully soon) one day...one day...we setup on the snowy mountaintop! I've seeeeeeeeen the.......(okay I'll stop)

Well we got two swings for this month...this weekend and the Chill storm. After that, man...I think we may need a bit of a miracle. Snow-wise, February ain't been February since 2015, so...hard to trust things changing. But we shall see...

Haha....pretty good! (I mean sure, it sounded more like an Ode to Root Beer at times...but that was nice work!) Now interestingly enough, Beethoven actually did write something that was...somewhat closer to ragtime, lol (or perhaps the boogie-woogie style...except this was 1824--a good 70-80 years before any of that!) @stormtracker Ya heard this tidbit?

Why the fourteenth century? Lol

Dude...Beethoven is my all-time time favorite as well!! (So we've got three Beethoven lovers on this forum? Frickin' AWESOME!) His music identifies with my soul in way nobody else's does! (and yes, it is at least rumored that that violinist was part African, but I just researched and it may have been west Indian. But he and Beethoven had a falling out...thus his name wasn't attached to the sonata--the "Kreutzer") And I'll have to listen to those conductor's interpretations of the 9th (admittedly I can be picky about Beethoven interpretations, lol But the 9th in particular has it's own unique expressive quirks...and thus a wide variety of interpretations!) And the Emperor I have a special place for...I played the first movement for my degree recital for my bachelor's alongside my now dearly departed teacher about 5 years ago (he was playing the piano reduction of the orchestral part). So whenever I hear it, I always think about that! I hope you get to hear more live Beethoven performances this year...ESPECIALLY this year--his 250th!!

I never noticed either! That's nice, @stormtracker (and now I'm imagining civil rights songs played in Beethoven-style...lol Beethoven did have a few connections to musicians of African descent--one of them he almost dedicated a violin sonata to, lol)

Very true...it seems kinda wonky to me. If it were to somehow work out...I wouldn't be surprised if it's not until midweek before we see a trend to a snowy solution, lol

Mercy no...we cannot have both of these storms rain. Because I'm telling you...I don't trust February this year. Nobody is talking about any kind of good pattern for next month...(and ya hear more about it NOT happening). And what psu mentioned a few weeks ago (and how often we DON'T get out of this kind of base stste) And then the Isotherm posts about things not getting right until late February at the earliest...and the usual caveats about Match snow. Nope...I don't trust it. So I'm keying in on both of these...and will remain highly suspect of February.

I tend to agree...the craziness of the setup certainly makes it worth keeping an eye on, imo...

Yes congrats mother @mappy!! (I actually didn't realize you weren't "official" per se!)

Can't say improvement...but it remains close enough to track.

Indeed...

Euro colder at 12 on Sunday...Using 24 hour maps I can't tell what happened between 120 and 144...

I think that was about where it was at 12z (except 12 hours later) before it transferred and gave west of 95 something. (Hey I asked yesterday about why rain-to-snow was more rare around here. And I was wondering about how it happened with Commutageddon!)

Yeah in Baltimore City we still have not had a verified WSW event since the big blizzard (last January's storm was 4.8"...so still missed the 5-inch criteria by that much, lol)

I get ya...a tad overreactive on my part I getcha...but I think I'm still intrigued because of even the slightest possibility of this awful set of variables producing something (I guess we could call it a bonafide fluke storm if that were the case, lol)

@psuhoffman Now I had never suggested 2016 was a fluke...the setup was perfect. Now, as far as 2006...I was going off of what you said about the pattern being awful most of the winter, and that particular week being "the one time it got right". So I guess my definition of "fluke" in that case is just that we were lucky enough to score in the one time the pattern got right (not about HOW it snowed then) Now I didn't know it was favorable from the end of Jan 2006 on either (I hadn't inferred that from your description of it). Now about the "Hudson bay ridge" pattern you said we're in...now you said there weren't "many" HECS in our history with this pattern. Did it happen even once?