ForestHillWx
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Everything posted by ForestHillWx
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North and west (I live in southwest Morris) has always been subject to a hard cut-off; every model depicts it. I’m starting with that mindset and will adjust as necessary. Happy hunting to those further East.
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There’s a certain level of catharsis exhibited in some of the more prolific posts; every storm it never fails. Model jumping, and then projecting the worst outcome each time, with the underlying hope that said poster is wrong.
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Interesting article, however it quite clearly says it’s a hypothesis. The additional tweets bluewave posted support the contention that the ssts do have an effect on storms; understood. But again based on the graph published this morning the ssts are 0.5 degrees above historical averages. My point is that there are more factors then sst anomaly’s involved in snow totals, etc. Not trying to derail the thread, but wanted to respond.
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What evidence is there that the Gulf Stream is slowing down? I just think the sst anomaly is being given too much weight in the potential to increase snow totals when compared to a multitude of other factors.
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Re: SST anomaly, the chart bluewave posted this morning showed 0.5C above historical norms. According to NOAA the bouy for Cape May had 36.7 F and Sandy Hook 34.9F today (too lazy to do conversions). Not sure it has the same effect as 24C+ water in the late summer when dealing with tropical systems in terms of “fuel”. Granted I will take any infusion of moisture possible being in the western zone.
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Hahah, now I feel old.
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17 currently. Nice string of sub freezing weather.
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4 degrees. Tied my lowest got this winter. Sub zero are not too far north based on wunderground. I wonder if I can make a run at it next cold shot.
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9 currently. Pond hockey in town in full swing. The town sledding hill not so much, but at least the skating is good for the kids this year.
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Winter cancel? Get the garden prepped early this year. (Some sarc as it’s mid-January).
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Snow showers in chester NJ
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Flipped back to snow showers at 9:00 am. Property is a mess with water logged snow on top of a thin layer of ice.
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Eyeballing 3”; dense stuff. Can hear some pings, so the change is upon us. Decent winds. What a shame, could have been a monster with some decent blocking.
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It’s legit ripping down this way, not sure how long we will hold out.
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Ripping good now. Enjoying it while it lasts.
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27 with moderate snow. Main roads are getting bad. Light snow removal tonight considering the holiday.
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Snow here as well. Winds have picked up.
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19 currently…almost noon. I see a few clouds, but otherwise nice and sunny. Still in amazement that aside from a few flurries we are staring down the barrel of a windswept rainstorm.
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To chime in, we do have a storm with impressive dynamics that is more than worthy of a dedicated thread; however we are not getting the end result that we all desire. Walt, it’s always a pleasure. Personally, I am glad you in are in the north/west thread as well.
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2/-7; going to be wild watching it rain in 12 hrs.
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16 currently. Not terrible in the sun.
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Was just about to post about the Tonga eruption. One link I found (I have no idea how to post) caught audio from Fiji. Sounds incredible; no doubt scary for the islanders. Tsunami warnings up, photos of flooding into the Fijian capital already. Just an awesome display of nature’s power.
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4 currently. Isn’t bad until the wind blows. Wood stove is pumping.
