winterwx21

Looks as if this is mainly a morning event monday? NAM is showing very heavy rain during the morning, but only a little light rain during the afternoon.

It looks as if you'll have to go well to the north and west to see frost with the late week cool shot. Lows here are expected to be in the low-mid 40s. Nothing to write home about for October. Then a mild pattern for awhile, as you mentioned. So thankfully crops will be safe for awhile. My vegetable garden is still producing very well.

This thing is moving very quickly ... the rain is going to be ending early in the morning tomorrow. So I'm not sure where you're getting the 36 hours. It isn't even going to be 24 hours.

There were hints that this would happen well before last night. NAM has been showing the rain ending early wednesday for several runs before now.

Yeah that's what NAM and some other models are showing. I just mentioned this to Sacrus in the september thread because I don't understand why some keep talking about rain into thursday. It looks as if the sun will come out wednesday afternoon and the rain will be long gone by thursday. It's a tuesday night into wednesday morning rain event.

I keeping seeing some saying rain into thursday but NAM has rain over by midday wednesday and then sun coming out wednesday afternoon. This is looking more like a tuesday night into wednesday morning rain event.

Having some indoor dining helps some, although 25% capacity doesn't help a lot. But Connecticut is increasing their indoor capacity to 75%. The 50% capacity indoor dining never lead to an increase in cases, so that's a good thing. Hopefully the weather will cooperate to allow restaurants to do outdoor dining for quite awhile though. I think a lot of people are fine with sitting in 50 to 60 degree temps, so October and November should be ok. You just wear a little more. It will be tough though when the much colder weather comes in winter. Not many people will sit in 30 degrees. Hopefully by then NY and NJ will be able to increase indoor capacity like CT is. And perhaps heating for outdoors.

No question about that. The cooldown for early the week of the 28th doesn't look nearly as cool as what we have right now, and the long range stuff is indicating another warmup in early October. We're gonna be in a mild to warm pattern for quite awhile after tomorrow.

To me it still looks like 80 degrees next weekend. The warm pattern that starts wednesday and goes through next weekend might come to an end a little earlier now though, with that trough swinging in during the early part of the week of the 28th. Hopefully we'll get some decent rain from that too, after this long dry stretch.

Doesn't look like a cooldown on the 26th-27th to me. Models are showing maybe a very brief minor cooldown on friday the 25th after the warmth of the 23rd-24th, and then actually warming back up the weekend of the 26th-27th. Could be looking at 80 degrees sunday the 27th.

GFS probably overdoing it a little bit, but it does look like a nice warm pattern starting mid next week. Starting wednesday, at least a week of high temps mostly mid 70s to low 80s.

I think by next tuesday we're already warming back up to low-mid 70s. No question we have a few solidly below normal days this weekend into monday. But other than that, I see a lot of days with high temps well up into the 70s to near 80. Today, wednesday and thursday this week and most of next week after monday. One cool stretch for a few days but otherwise normal to above normal temps.

We still see plenty of warm days mixed in with the cool ones. After the cool day tomorrow, we're looking at high temps in the upper 70s to near 80 wednesday and thursday. And after the cool weekend into monday, it warms back up mid next week. Next wednesday and thursday look like a repeat of this week with highs close to 80. Still plenty of 80 degree warmth mixed in the cool days.

I'm Jealous. Just light rain here. Yet again a heavy downpour slides just a few miles south of Piscataway. Don't know what it is that causes that to happen so often.

Still hardly anything here. One heavy downpour missed just a few miles to the north, going over plainfield. Now it looks as if this next downpour is going to miss us just a few miles to the south. The luck we have getting heavy downpours here in Piscataway is so bad it's almost comical. I've lost count of how many times we missed getting heavy rain by just a couple miles this summer.

Frustrating that the heavier rain missed this area this morning. Only about a tenth of an inch here. If everything misses this afternoon, we will barely have gotten enough to water the gardens. Frustrating considering the potential this event had. Hopefully the current models are wrong about everything missing to the south and east this afternoon.

But I see on satellite that more sun should start to break through in the next couple hours. It's just that my father is very fussy about this sort of thing. He's going for a motorcycle ride today and I got a call from him and he was pretty irritated, asking what happened to the sunny day today. LOL. We were not supposed to have hours of mostly cloudy skies like we've had. Still a nice day though.

It feels great, but the sky conditions are not beautiful like they were supposed to be. A lot of clouds.

Not nearly as sunny as it was supposed to be today. It's mostly cloudy here.

That's true. Even though there were signs that the worst of it would miss to the south, northern NJ to NYC was at least supposed to see some scattered downpours today. At least we had that nice storm the other night. It was cool seeing the heavy rain blow sideways with that strong north wind from that storm.

The problem is the line is heading ESE. So even if it holds together, it will likely miss NYC to the south. All I had here today was sprinkles. The heavy rain event from the remnants of Laura was a bust, but for a few days there certainly were signs that the worst of it would miss to the south. Not a huge suprise that we got nothing.

Lee Goldberg just showed a futurecast that showed a strong line of storms going through northern Jersey and NYC around 10pm. It's just 1 model and we don't know if it'll be correct, but it's a possibility.

For days and days the GGEM kept showing sunday as a complete washout. I think most ignored the GGEM rainy solution for sunday because it's a lousy model and all the other models were dry, but maybe it had the right idea for a change.

And now I'm down to 90. A very hot day for sure, but not the extreme heat that was advertised.

Can't seem to make it above 95 here. Keeps going back and forth from 93 to 95. A little surprised as I thought we'd see upper 90s today.