winterwx21

After the cool shot for sunday (highs in the low 40s) the weather pattern for late March looks pretty good. No major warmth coming, but lots of days with high temps well up in the 50s. Not bad for late March. Looks as if next week will be a good time to start Spring planting. Looking forward to it.

I just got back from the grocery store, and yeah it has been snowing moderate to heavy. Still a tremendous struggle for it to accumulate though. Just a very light coating on the grass in some areas, while other grassy areas remain bare. This March sun angle has been a killer. This would have been a nice few inches if it happened at night. It is accumulating on the trees and bushes a little better though. At least it's a nice scene with the trees coated.

Yeah I know some snow lovers might be happy just to see snow coming down, but for me all this white rain is just irritating. A real waste. We would've gotten a few inches if this happened at night. Instead white rain. Best case we get a little coating on colder surfaces if it keeps snowing at this rate later in the afternoon.

33 here but even that's not good enough with moderate to heavy snow coming down. I knew any model run showing an inch of snow for this area would be wrong because it's not accounting for the mid March sun angle. This borderline situation would have worked at night for a couple inches here. Or during the daytime a bomb of a storm in the perfect spot like a couple of those NAM runs showed the other day. That would have worked for a lot more, lol.

Yep even with a temp of 33 and moderate to heavy snow, it can't accumulate even on colder surfaces here. March sun angle is killing us. Too bad this didn't happen at night as you said.

Heavy snow here. Huge flakes, but it's not accumulating at all even on colder surfaces. White rain as expected. We really needed this to happen at night for our area with the borderline temps. Glad folks to the northwest are getting to see accumulation though.

I'm so sorry for your loss and the tough time you're going through, Chris. I wish you good luck in finding a room. I wish I had one available.

This is how I feel now. We're now down to a Hail Mary for this winter. It's not impossible, but snow events in late March and early April for our area are highly anomalous. So I'm not tracking anymore unless we have a legitimate threat that's only a few days away. I hope it warms up in time for Spring planting during the last week of March. Looking forward to getting out there and planting lettuce, broccoli and peas. Hopefully we'll have 60 degree weather during the last week of the month, but I know chilly weather often stubbornly hangs on during early Spring.

UKMET just caved too. It now has nothing tuesday. Looks likely that this is over except for well to the northwest. Doesn't feel as if there's a need to stay up to look at Euro. It would be pretty irritating to stay up for Euro anyway now that it's so late due to the clock change.

I enjoyed the few inches that we got (we had a 2" event and 1.5" event here) even though they melted very quickly. They were pretty scenes with everything coated with the wet snow. Better than seeing no snow at all for the entire winter, but obviously it was still a horrendous winter for snow lovers.

At least we finally got a couple light events near the end of the winter. 4 inches of snow is better than nothing. lol

It looks as if we could hit 60 degrees on friday, so I'm sure that's what he's talking about.

Euro just has some light snow on the backside tuesday afternoon, which would be white rain. Terrible run but not a surprise. We know the NAM is a horrendous model that loves to tease us with crazy solutions.

Not quite as good as last night. It cut back on snow amounts quite a bit. But it's still decent.

Since the RGEM is so warm, it's not surprising that the CMC is warm too. The 12z run gives us a lot of rain/snow mix tuesday, which obviously wouldn't cut it. It'll be interesting to see what UKMET and EURO show in a little while.

GFS still not impressed. It gives only a small amount of snow on the backside which would probably be white rain.

Euro wasn't anything like the NAM though. Even after the changeover it showed a lot of mixing, which is why it showed a small amount of snow for NYC compared to the amount it showed to the north and west. Definitely a big storm to the north and west though. It'll be interesting to see what it shows this afternoon. Hopefully a better scenario for the NYC area.

Just crazy with the NAM showing a huge snowstorm while the RGEM gives us basically all rain. We've certainly seen this situation many times before with storm threats though. Pretty often we don't have a good idea until right before an event. Hoping to see other models look good today ... we definitely need much more than just the NAM since that's a crazy model.

I wouldn't move on, because I would still find it interesting if parts of our area get significant snow. Hopefully it will deliver for our snow lover friends to the north, and I'm still hoping to see positive changes for the NYC area. Maybe tonight's model runs will look better.

Oh sure. It could be a good storm to the north. I'm in north central Jersey, so I'm talking about my area and the NYC area. For this area it isn't looking good right now, but we have enough time for positive changes.

What Euro run am I looking at? The Euro shows rain for most of the storm (monday into monday night), and then a little back end snow on tuesday. That map shows a few inches for the NYC area, and when you take ratios into account it would be less than that. An inch or two of slop. Every model shows most of this storm being rain for the NYC area. Hopefully we'll see some changes, but right now it isn't looking great.

Mainly a rainstorm, but some light snows wrap in on tuesday on the Euro. GFS is the only model giving us significant snow. Certainly not the model I want I my side.

Pretty much nothing on the UKMET. Just a little snow for Long Island.

A brief period of non-accumulating wet snow, but mostly a rain/snow mix here this morning. RGEM ended up being correct with the warm solution for this area. Still stuck on 4 inches of snow for this miserable winter.

I see the 02z HRRR has a band of snow early to mid morning and now gives NYC and my area 1 to 2 inches of snow. I'm not expecting that (I'm thinking just a coating), but I hope to be surprised in the morning.