winterwx21

Probably because this will likely just be an event for colder surfaces. It's going to be in the 60s on tuesday with rain so roads are going to be VERY warm and wet. Very difficult to get much accumulation on roads that are retaining warmth and when temps are barely down to freezing. The last event I had almost 3 hours of 1 to 2 inch per hour snowfall rates from late morning to early afternoon with a temp of 33 degrees, but I only got a little slushy dusting on roads and didn't even have to shovel. You really need the temp to fall to freezing or below if roads and pavement are very warm. Right now this event is looking similar with temps likely falling to 33 to 35 during the snow wednesday morning, so it probably won't be a high impact event. That said, if the models are right we could get a couple inches on colder surfaces. It would certainly be very nice to see 1 to 3 inches on car tops and grass, so I'm definitely interested in this event. Any accumulating snow is interesting to me, even if it doesn't have much of an impact on travel. Of course northwest of our area where it will be colder, there's a better chance of seeing some accumulation on pavement. But I don't expect that to happen for central Jersey to NYC.

It is rain changing to snow though. I watched the GGEM color animation, and it goes from rain to rain/sleet/snow mix to snow in a short period of time on the model run.

12z GGEM is actually giving the entire tri-state a 5 to 8 inch snowfall tuesday night into wednesday as rain changes to snow with the front. I know these rain to snow situations don't usually work out that well here though, so I'm guessing the model is overdoing it.

The timing was just off here. We had heavy snow late morning to early afternoon, but it struggled to accumulate due to temps slightly above freezing and a warm ground. Now at night when it can accumulate more easily, we're only getting light snow. So even right now the pavement remains wet. A shame to have a winter storm warning and not even get any accumulation on pavement. I thought I'd at least have a little shoveling to do. Too bad.

LOL. You said it was dumb of me to bring up sun angle, but then you say your snow is starting to accumulate because the sun is going down. Too funny. I am in Piscataway NJ. We had a few hours of HEAVY snow earlier today but in mainly just accumulated on colder surfaces. The pavement stayed wet for a long time, and then just a slushy dusting. If it was night it would have EASILY accumulated on pavement. But it was middle of the day (sun angle), the pavement had residual warmth and it was 1 degree above freezing. So unfortunately we lost a lot of accumulation. Now we're going into night but radar doesn't look good. The bands have shifted north and east of here. I wish we could have gotten that heavy band at night. It came down SO heavily here early afternoon, but we don't have much to show for it. Frustrating.

We were 1 degree above freezing with heavy snow. If that happened at 7pm rather than noon time, it would have accumulated on the pavement. That's a fact.

I don't see what's so funny. There's a reason why it hasn't been accumulating on pavement here despite 1 to 2 inch per hour snowfall rates and 33 degrees. If we had this at night we'd have a couple inches on the pavement right now.

1 inch here on colder surfaces like car tops. Pavement just has a slushy dusting. We've had heavy snowfall rates and 33 degrees the last few hours. I'm surprised it's having so much trouble accumulating. You wouldn't think sun angle would be a big deal this time of year. 33 is obviously only 1 degree above freezing, so you'd think heavy snow would accumulate easily. But somehow the sun angle seems to be hurting us. Unless it's more because pavement was wet and warm. Too bad this heavy snow band didn't hit us at night when it would accumulate easily. Hopefully there will be plenty left for tonight, but I'm concerned about the snow band shifting north and east for tonight.

It's mainly just accumulating on colder surfaces where I am in Piscataway, despite the good snow rates. My road is still just wet. Temp is 33. We have a nice coating on colder surfaces.

I root for some cold weather in winter because it's needed for snow, but I hate a cold blast like this in November. I would love to go outside for a run this evening, but it's too cold for running. So I'll use the exercise bike inside instead, which I don't like nearly as much as running. I don't know how someone can call this type of weather comfortable, but I guess some people like bundling up.

Yeah that's the way it has looked to me for awhile too. It looks more like just precip along the cold front thursday night, rather than some kind of storm. Could change to a little wet snow on the backside of the front to the NW of the city, but not a big deal. The next week looks much more interesting.

Amy Freeze is the worst weather person I've ever seen on tv. So many mistakes that it's mind-boggling. Today she keeps talking about how saturday is going to be a beautiful sunny day with low humidity, yet every time the 7 day forecast is put up it has a thunderstorm posted for saturday. She is so dumb that she keeps missing that miatake. And I've seen this type of mistake happen so many times with her. She is a complete and utter joke. What a difference from the high quality forecasts from Lee Goldberg and Jeff Smith. I wonder if someone on channel 7 will finally catch the mistake and take that thunderstorm off of saturday the next time they show the 7 day forecast. This is a joke.

Yep I felt my house shake a little while ago.