winterwx21
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Everything posted by winterwx21
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CMC did go south compared to the 12z run though. It keeps the significant snow down in southern Jersey and brushes us with 1 to 2 inches up here. Still a long way to go with this one though. We have a shot. At least we know it will be plenty cold for accumulating snow Monday, but hopefully it won't get pushed too far south.
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At least as the GFS backed down somewhat, the CMC jumped aboard. Hopefully the EURO will show something nice shortly, but with this setup it will take quite awhile for the models figure out what's going to happen.
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Yeah we should be well up into the 40s tomorrow as long as that storm misses to the south. I would think GFS is wrong since everything else is so far south. Hopefully we'll be adding to our snow totals early next week.
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2/24 - 2/25 Clipper Obs (1 - 2" for many on forum)
winterwx21 replied to Northof78's topic in New York City Metro
It was nice to see this event overperform a little bit. I got 1.3" here. I figured it was gonna be more like a half inch or maybe three quarters. -
Euro misses us just to the south with a light snow on Monday, but then gives us a few inches Tuesday before changing over to a mix and rain. Hopefully GFS is correct with the big snowstorm idea for Monday, but obviously a long way to go before the models figure out what's gonna happen. I do think it's likely we'll see at least some snow early next week. Hopefully we'll break our March snow drought. I'd like to see one more snowstorm, but I am looking forward to some much warmer temps as we head into mid March.
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Not bothering me at all. We had snow on the ground for 3 weeks after the January snowstorm because it was so cold. You wanted us to believe that we could never have a cold winter again. You must be stunned about this winter.
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LOL.
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GFS and CMC give us snow early next week. We're long overdue for a March snow event, so hopefully it'll happen. Since we're having a cold/snowy winter this year, I think there's a good chance that we'll break our March snow drought.
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Tonight's GFS keeps most of the accumulation just to our south -- a very close call. NAM does bring the accumulating snow across our area Thursday afternoon, but only 1 to 2 inches. CMC has slower timing, bringing it in late at night, and has a wintry mix. Certainly a little something to watch with 3 days to go.
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I figured this winter would be good after we got the significant amount of snow in December. We know that when we get at least 4 inches of snow in a La Nina December, it usually goes on to be a snowy winter. It worked out that way again. Hopefully we can get some snow with the early March cold next week, before it warms up. I don't think this winter will go out without a fight in March.
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You sometimes get criticized for being so optimistic all the time, but your optimism certainly worked out this winter. A great job by you.
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Yeah I'll take my chances with a La Nina rather than an El Nino. As I said I like that it gives us a good chance for winter to get off to an early start with cold and snow in December.
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Yeah but we did very well with the La Nina this winter. Even last winter was colder but the bigger snowstorms got suppressed to the south. Overall we've done very well with La Nina the last couple years so I'm not sure we should be happy to see it go away. I like that La Nina gives us a good chance for winter to get off to an early start with snow in December.
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Today's CMC looks pretty good with Thursday's snow. Not gonna be a big storm but maybe we can get a few inches.
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So difficult to make an accurate measurement with this type of storm. Our friend RU is the best with measurements and he's saying almost 22 in Metuchen. I got an average measurement of 20 here in Piscataway. The drifts are incredible.
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About 20 inches here. Obviously incredibly difficult to measure. The drifts are insane. Thrilling to get a storm like this! The GFS was long overdue for a big win -- so happy that it ended up getting it.
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INSANE snowfall rates right now as those yellows on radar go over our area.
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8 inches here so far. Glorious outside. Should be able to get close to a foot and a half here.
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Were you joking with this comment? Not only do we have a couple more snow chances this week, but there's a potential arctic blast during the first week of March. It's not as if our wintry pattern is ending after this storm.
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Now we're not getting the snow tomorrow morning? I'm devastated by this news.
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We knew that it was gonna be white rain until late afternoon.
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Wow. I went on Friday and it wasn't too bad. I usually go on Saturday but moved it up to Friday to avoid the insane crowds. I heard that yesterday it was horrific.
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Hard to believe anyone would be calling for 20 to 30 right now.
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It's funny how some people say we shouldn't look at models as the event gets very close. Models get more and more accurate the closer you get to the event. They'll be the most accurate right before the event is starting, so of course we should look at them.
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It's not only the globals. HRRR last night had my area getting close to 2 feet, but now it's 15.
