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winterwx21

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Everything posted by winterwx21

  1. winterwx21
    Water is up to the houses on my street now. What incredibly bad luck to get hit by this kind of flooding just a week and a half after we got hit by one of the most severe t-storms ever. A couple houses on my street got crushed by big trees from that storm. Now major flooding. Horrible.
  2. winterwx21
    Now 4 and a half inches with no sign that it will let up anytime soon.
  3. winterwx21
    We pray.
  4. winterwx21
    I'm starting to think even more than that. I'm over 3 inches now, and the backbuilding on radar looks really bad. This could be 6 to 8 inches of rain. I hope not.
  5. winterwx21
    And with the backbuilding it's pouring here again. Unfortunately this is looking like it's gonna be an epic flooding event. That HRRR run from earlier in the afternoon that I pointed out (5 inches of rain for our area) is going to end up being right.
  6. winterwx21
    My road is flooded already. That hasn't happened in a long time. 2.30" of rain in a very short period of time. It's tapering off here now but as you said, the backbuilding is concerning. Hopefully we won't end up getting 4 to 5 inches of rain.
  7. winterwx21
    My road is flooded already. That hasn't happened in a long time. 2.30" of rain in a very short period of time. It's tapering off here now but as you said, the backbuilding is concerning. Hopefully we won't end up getting 4 to 5 inches of rain.
  8. winterwx21
    Over 2 inches of rain here now too.
  9. winterwx21
    The lightning here is off the charts. The most lightning I've seen and the closest strikes in years. Incredible storm. Can't believe I still have power.
  10. winterwx21
    Not just the heavy rain but we have quite a t-storm going on. Lots of lightning and very strong wind. Not as severe as that storm we had the day before the 4th, but it's gusting 40mph. North wind is blowing the rain sideways. Appears we're gonna get inches of rain too ... some of those HRRR runs were right.
  11. winterwx21
    Occasionally the HRRR turns in a great performance, but no question it's bad more often than it's good. I see the latest 17z run is back to showing much more activity and crushes a lot of the area this evening. We shall see.
  12. winterwx21
    A small downpour just missed me to the south by a mile or two. Hoping for some heavy rain later...
  13. winterwx21
    I don't want major flooding, but hoping for some heavy rain today because it's so dry out there. I see the latest HRRR (14z) crushes my area with 5 inches of rain, but we know how HRRR is. It moves around from run to run and is wildly inconsistent. Obviously some spots will get very heavy rain amounts today while others get little to nothing. Who knows.
  14. winterwx21
    Despite all the humidity with rain chances almost every day, it has become very dry here. I'm having to water the vegetable garden very often now. Tomorrow was advertised as a more active day, but I see HRRR and NAM 3km keep most of the activity to the north and west. I hope we see a downpour, but I'm not very optimistic.
  15. winterwx21
    Nice, have a great vacation!
  16. winterwx21
    85 with a dewpoint of 70 here. It's humid out there, but nothing like the tropical steambath that we had when dewpoints were in the high 70s. Looks like very little chance of rain this weekend. Most of the advertised convection for this week didn't really pan out, and we got only about a third of an inch of rain for the entire week here. I'll be watering the vegetable garden today. Hopefully we'll see something on Monday.
  17. winterwx21
    Yeah I don't think there's gonna be much activity this afternoon, but we'll see.
  18. winterwx21
    Yeah I saw that cell popping up on radar last night before I went to sleep. I thought it would miss me just a little to the northwest, and that's what happened. I got only 0.23" from last night's steady rain, but at least it was enough to give the garden a watering.
  19. winterwx21
    Storms missing well to the south, but at least it has been a decent batch of steady light to moderate rain. 0.10" here so far and we'll be adding a little more to that. Just enough to water things out there.
  20. winterwx21
    For south of the city it looks pretty active for tonight. We have a flash flood watch in effect here. I was just looking at the latest models, and they're actually not showing a lot of activity for tomorrow now. This evening might end up being more active than tomorrow.
  21. winterwx21
    Yeah I can't blame you for that after what we went through last week. Thankfully they weren't severe. I did see some nice cloud to cloud lightning. As far as the rainfall, I got 0.08" from that little band of light to moderate rain.
  22. winterwx21
    Had a couple 30mph wind gusts and a couple rumbles of thunder, but yeah it's only light rain. Probably only gonna get a few hundreths to maybe a tenth out of this.
  23. winterwx21
    It's a very close call for our area. The northern part of the line heading into Mercer and Hunterdon could brush northern Middlesex and maybe even Union if it holds together. 21z HRRR has it missing just a shade to my south with heavy rain going through central Middlesex and light amounts up here, but we'll see. I'm holding off on watering the vegetable garden, hoping we get a decent amount of rain. Wouldn't be a surprise if it's just a shower though.
  24. winterwx21
    Not a surprise that HRRR was way off with the huge amounts for today. That model is very inconsistent, and it seems to be wrong more often than it's right.
  25. winterwx21
    Not bad. I would've liked that amount to water the vegetable garden. Hopefully I'll have better luck here tomorrow. As others have pointed out, the coverage of storms should be better tomorrow.
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